FanBoardHQ

UConn

University of Connecticut · 2025 · FBS Independents

FanBoardHQ CFP
#69
Efficiency
-3.9
80th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 2
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UConn went 9-4 and was ranked 69th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 53rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 101st-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 74th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 67th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-1
Q4
8-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
61st
-2.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
134th
full season
134th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
1 = toughest (FBS)

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Central ConnecticutNECW 5913+25.7100%5.3Q4
2@ SyracuseACC#116L 2027+5.60%-10.0Q4
3@ DelawareConference USA#98L 4144+8.60%-11.7Q4
4vs Ball StateMid-American#122W 3125+20.4100%-15.9Q4
5@ BuffaloMid-American#113W 2017+9.0100%-9.3Q4
6vs FIUConference USA#89W 5110+11.0100%16.8Q4
8@ Boston CollegeACC#124W 3823+3.2100%8.2Q4
9@ RiceAmerican Athletic#106L 3437+9.60%-14.6Q4
10vs UABAmerican Athletic#118W 3819+15.2100%5.3Q4
11vs DukeACC#44W 3734-5.9100%4.5Q3
12vs Air ForceMountain West#105W 2616+5.7100%1.9Q4
13@ Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#107W 4845+3.4100%-2.6Q4
Postseason
vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#67L 1641-5.50%-29.5Q3

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UConn, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.3+0.5+14.25-10-12-16-9178-15552-3Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 74th
SR 69thYPP 94thEPA 68th
RushingEff 67th
SR 78thYPP 56thEPA 67th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 113th
SR 127thYPP 103rdEPA 114th
Rush defenseEff 136th
SR 136thYPP 137thEPA 136th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo +2.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 101st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 48%1st · Defense allowed: 49%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 49%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 117.0Q1 · Allowed: 54.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 129.0Q2 · Allowed: 96.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 102.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 113.0Q4 · Allowed: 132.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUConnOffenseDefense
UConn Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 53rd
+1.7
Field position: -1.2Finishing drives: +2.9
Field position -1.2Finishing drives +2.9= +1.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 106th · Finishing 45th

Defensive EffRanked 101st
-4.4
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: -5.5
Field position +1.1Finishing drives -5.5= -4.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 35th · Finishing 111th

2.90 points per drive on offense, 2.22 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(196)54% / 46%42%7.4
Q2(225)59% / 41%47%6.5
Q3(196)59% / 41%54%7.5
Q4(230)47% / 53%43%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(192)10.652%8.5
2nd(140)8.145%7.2
3rd(117)7.638%7.3
4th(13)4.569%5.7
All (462)47%7.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(190)9.644%5.2
2nd(134)7.446%5.6
3rd(53)5.447%7.1
4th(8)3.175%7.4
All (385)46%5.6

UConn, all games.