FanBoardHQ

Texas Tech

Texas Tech University · 2024 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#40
Efficiency
+6.5
46th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 16
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Texas Tech went 8-5 and was ranked 40th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 34th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 64th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 40th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 32nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-0
Q2
0-4
Q3
2-1
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
41st
-0.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
57th
full season
57th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
55th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Abilene ChristianUACW 5251+22.1100%-15.2Q4
2@ Washington StatePac-12#61L 1637+2.50%-17.9Q3
3vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#92W 6621+15.4100%30.3Q4
4vs Arizona StateBig 12#8W 3022-8.4100%21.8Q1
5vs CincinnatiBig 12#70W 4441+4.5100%10.2Q3
6@ ArizonaBig 12#98W 2822+10.5100%0.8Q4
8vs BaylorBig 12#33L 3559-3.60%-11.1Q2
9@ TCUBig 12#30L 3435-6.70%11.3Q2
10@ Iowa StateBig 12#13W 2322-9.2100%17.4Q1
11vs ColoradoBig 12#26L 2741-3.10%-3.2Q2
13@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#101W 5648+5.5100%9.0Q3
14vs West VirginiaBig 12#68W 5215+10.0100%31.0Q4
Postseason
vs ArkansasSEC#44L 2639-1.00%-5.4Q2

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Texas Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-14.0+6.5+27.1-15-183022101-111117-3931Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 40th
SR 42ndYPP 41stEPA 37th
RushingEff 32nd
SR 28thYPP 43rdEPA 27th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 77th
SR 50thYPP 114thEPA 58th
Rush defenseEff 73rd
SR 62ndYPP 88thEPA 70th
Dropback rate 54%Tempo +7.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 67th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 50%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 128.0Q1 · Allowed: 93.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 142.0Q2 · Allowed: 102.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 87.0Q3 · Allowed: 117.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 108.0Q4 · Allowed: 140.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTexas TechOffenseDefense
Texas Tech Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 34th
+5.3
Field position: +3.0Finishing drives: +2.4
Field position +3.0Finishing drives +2.4= +5.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 5th · Finishing 49th

Defensive EffRanked 64th
+0.9
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: +1.1
Field position -0.2Finishing drives +1.1= +0.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 81st · Finishing 59th

2.73 points per drive on offense, 2.51 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(247)57% / 43%48%6.5
Q2(261)57% / 43%43%6.5
Q3(224)56% / 44%46%5.9
Q4(259)51% / 49%42%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(214)10.147%7.4
2nd(183)8.840%6.1
3rd(134)7.644%7.4
4th(15)6.133%5.1
All (546)43%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(223)9.744%5.2
2nd(138)6.940%4.8
3rd(69)4.964%5.9
4th(15)1.360%8.1
All (445)47%5.3

Texas Tech, all games.