FanBoardHQ

North Texas

University of North Texas · 2024 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#92
Efficiency
-6.2
88th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
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North Texas went 6-7 and was ranked 92nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 64th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 109th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 63% of offensive plays with a 95th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 37% of plays with a 66th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-4
Q3
1-2
Q4
5-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
90th
-4.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
93rd
full season
93rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
90th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ South AlabamaSun Belt#83W 5238-5.9100%14.1Q3
2vs Stephen F. AustinSouthlandW 3520+8.4100%-2.2Q4
3@ Texas TechBig 12#40L 2166-15.40%-37.6Q2
4vs WyomingMountain West#118W 4417+8.9100%15.9Q4
5vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#131W 5220+28.0100%-5.6Q4
7@ Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#124W 4137+8.0100%-10.5Q4
8@ MemphisAmerican Athletic#38L 4452-11.60%-2.1Q2
9vs TulaneAmerican Athletic#42L 3745-14.20%2.1Q2
11vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#28L 314-15.40%-6.0Q2
12@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#81L 2748-4.10%-16.5Q3
13vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#78L 2840+4.80%-22.2Q4
14@ TempleAmerican Athletic#123W 2417+10.6100%-11.0Q4
Postseason
vs Texas StateSun Belt#63L 2830-8.90%0.8Q3

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on North Texas, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-33.3-10.9+11.614-2-3816-6-10-22-6-16-22-11Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 95th
SR 80thYPP 73rdEPA 108th
RushingEff 66th
SR 90thYPP 42ndEPA 62nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 134th
SR 129thYPP 136thEPA 134th
Rush defenseEff 100th
SR 111thYPP 98thEPA 93rd
Dropback rate 63%Tempo +11.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 89th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 114.0Q1 · Allowed: 98.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 106.0Q2 · Allowed: 150.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 115.0Q3 · Allowed: 79.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 97.0Q4 · Allowed: 99.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNorth TexasOffenseDefense
North Texas Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 64th
+0.2
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: +1.3
Field position -1.1Finishing drives +1.3= +0.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 98th · Finishing 54th

Defensive EffRanked 109th
-6.2
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -4.9
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -4.9= -6.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 115th · Finishing 105th

2.41 points per drive on offense, 2.38 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(235)66% / 34%46%7.0
Q2(239)59% / 41%40%6.2
Q3(215)62% / 38%41%7.0
Q4(245)57% / 43%43%6.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(239)10.348%8.5
2nd(178)8.348%7.0
3rd(120)8.334%5.4
4th(33)5.152%7.8
All (570)45%7.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(183)9.539%6.1
2nd(114)7.932%4.7
3rd(57)5.946%7.5
4th(10)2.340%6.6
All (364)38%5.9

North Texas, all games.