Troy
Troy University · 2026 · Sun Belt
Troy is 2-0 and ranked 110th in overall efficiency. Their 82nd-ranked defense carries them, with a 107th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 55% of offensive plays with an 116th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with an 112th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sam Houston | Conference USA | #123 | W 24–21 | +7.4 | 100% | -13.9 | Q4 |
| 2 | vs Alabama State | SWAC | — | W 34–17 | +20.8 | 100% | -10.5 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Missouri | SEC | #21 | Preview | -26.3 | 6% | — | Q1 |
| 4 | @ Utah State | Pac-12 | #92 | Preview | -7.0 | 34% | — | Q4 |
| 6 | vs Southern Miss | Sun Belt | #86 | Preview | -3.1 | 43% | — | Q4 |
| 7 | @ Louisiana | Sun Belt | #73 | Preview | -10.7 | 27% | — | Q3 |
| 8 | vs ULM | Sun Belt | #134 | Preview | +13.6 | 79% | — | Q4 |
| 9 | @ James Madison | Sun Belt | #75 | Preview | -10.2 | 27% | — | Q3 |
| 10 | vs Louisiana Tech | Sun Belt | #66 | Preview | -6.4 | 35% | — | Q4 |
| 11 | @ South Alabama | Sun Belt | #90 | Preview | -7.4 | 33% | — | Q3 |
| 12 | vs Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | #113 | Preview | +3.3 | 58% | — | Q4 |
| 13 | @ Arkansas State | Sun Belt | #109 | Preview | -3.0 | 43% | — | Q4 |
2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on Troy, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 111th · Finishing 98th
Field position 4th · Finishing 101st
1.85 points per drive on offense, 1.12 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(38) | 45% / 55% | 47% | 8.9 |
| Q2(35) | 37% / 63% | 43% | 5.5 |
| Q3(30) | 57% / 43% | 27% | 3.1 |
| Q4(29) | 34% / 66% | 28% | 5.2 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(18) | 10.3 | 39% | 8.6 |
| 2nd(21) | 9.3 | 43% | 7.3 |
| 3rd(15) | 8.0 | 20% | 1.2 |
| 4th(3) | 3.0 | 67% | 6.0 |
| All (57) | — | 37% | 6.0 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(38) | 9.6 | 32% | 5.4 |
| 2nd(21) | 6.9 | 43% | 6.4 |
| 3rd(14) | 5.9 | 43% | 6.3 |
| 4th(2) | 1.0 | 50% | 0.5 |
| All (75) | — | 37% | 5.7 |
Troy, all games.