FanBoardHQ

Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt University · 2023 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#120
Efficiency
-11.3
109th FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
0-8
Conf. finish
14th
of 14
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Vanderbilt went 2-10 and was ranked 120th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 93rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 116th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 121st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 127th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
0-3
Q3
0-3
Q4
2-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
128th
-5.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
22nd
full season
22nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
5th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~3.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0vs Hawai'iMountain West#109W 3528+7.0100%-16.6Q4
1vs Alabama A&MSWACW 4713+26.8100%-12.2Q4
2@ Wake ForestACC#96L 2036-9.50%-11.0Q3
3@ UNLVMountain West#50L 3740-16.50%3.2Q2
4vs KentuckySEC#41L 2845-15.70%-15.1Q3
5vs MissouriSEC#8L 2138-27.00%-0.6Q1
6@ FloridaSEC#66L 1438-18.20%-20.5Q2
7vs GeorgiaSEC#5L 2037-34.10%6.5Q1
9@ Ole MissSEC#10L 733-29.40%-14.3Q1
10vs AuburnSEC#59L 1531-14.20%-15.6Q3
11@ South CarolinaSEC#68L 647-19.00%-26.9Q2
13@ TennesseeSEC#19L 2448-27.80%-13.0Q1

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Vanderbilt, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.2-10.2+3.8-17-12-113-15-1-216-14-16-27-13Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 121st
SR 115thYPP 112thEPA 125th
RushingEff 127th
SR 128thYPP 124thEPA 125th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 90th
SR 86thYPP 85thEPA 96th
Rush defenseEff 98th
SR 39thYPP 122ndEPA 103rd
Dropback rate 58%Tempo -9.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 54th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 38%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 33%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 49%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 41.0Q1 · Allowed: 92.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 48.0Q2 · Allowed: 123.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 45.0Q3 · Allowed: 86.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 118.0Q4 · Allowed: 102.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledVanderbiltOffenseDefense
Vanderbilt Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 93rd
-4.3
Field position: +1.7Finishing drives: -5.9
Field position +1.7Finishing drives -5.9= -4.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 19th · Finishing 106th

Defensive EffRanked 116th
-7.2
Field position: -1.2Finishing drives: -6.0
Field position -1.2Finishing drives -6.0= -7.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 103rd · Finishing 113th

1.69 points per drive on offense, 2.76 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(173)54% / 46%34%5.1
Q2(180)59% / 41%28%4.7
Q3(179)52% / 48%46%5.7
Q4(188)62% / 38%44%6.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(156)9.946%8.0
2nd(129)8.838%6.2
3rd(104)8.222%3.7
4th(20)6.230%4.6
All (409)37%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(160)9.935%4.6
2nd(94)8.038%4.7
3rd(53)5.455%4.4
4th(4)1.050%-0.3
All (311)40%4.5

Vanderbilt, all games.