FanBoardHQ

Georgia

University of Georgia · 2023 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#5
Efficiency
+25.5
3rd FBS
Record
13-1
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
2nd
of 14
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Georgia went 13-1 and was ranked 5th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 3rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 18th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 5th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 4th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
4-1
Q2
3-0
Q3
2-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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13
14
Expected: 13.0 wins
Strength of Record
5th
+4.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
41st
full season
41st
Conf. sched. difficulty
38th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UT MartinBig South-OVCW 487+40.2100%17.3Q4
2vs Ball StateMid-American#116W 453+43.4100%25.0Q4
3vs South CarolinaSEC#68W 2414+23.3100%13.9Q3
4vs UABAmerican Athletic#114W 4921+42.0100%16.0Q4
5@ AuburnSEC#59W 2720+17.2100%15.5Q2
6vs KentuckySEC#41W 5113+21.2100%35.2Q3
7@ VanderbiltSEC#120W 3720+34.1100%7.7Q4
9vs FloridaSEC#66W 4320+21.5100%30.4Q2
10vs MissouriSEC#8W 3021+9.9100%26.0Q1
11vs Ole MissSEC#10W 5217+13.0100%38.5Q1
12@ TennesseeSEC#19W 3810+9.1100%38.7Q1
13@ Georgia TechACC#51W 3123+20.6100%15.9Q2
14vs AlabamaSEC#4L 2427+3.70%18.7Q1
Postseason
vs Florida StateACC#9W 633+10.2100%44.2Q1

14 played · 13-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+3.1+19.4+35.61725141616358302639391619Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 5th
SR 3rdYPP 7thEPA 9th
RushingEff 4th
SR 3rdYPP 29thEPA 2nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 12th
SR 12thYPP 10thEPA 10th
Rush defenseEff 63rd
SR 59thYPP 61stEPA 68th
Dropback rate 51%Tempo -3.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 47th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 53%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 41%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 58%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 31%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 96.0Q1 · Allowed: 65.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 200.0Q2 · Allowed: 61.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 151.0Q3 · Allowed: 20.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 99.0Q4 · Allowed: 75.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgiaOffenseDefense
Georgia Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 3rd
+17.5
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: +16.8
Field position +0.7Finishing drives +16.8= +17.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 37th · Finishing 3rd

Defensive EffRanked 18th
+8.4
Field position: +2.4Finishing drives: +6.0
Field position +2.4Finishing drives +6.0= +8.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 7th · Finishing 22nd

3.59 points per drive on offense, 1.39 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(218)59% / 41%50%7.2
Q2(266)50% / 50%58%7.5
Q3(252)50% / 50%54%7.9
Q4(209)37% / 63%48%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(207)10.157%9.9
2nd(149)8.157%8.9
3rd(103)7.347%7.8
4th(6)3.850%5.5
All (465)54%9.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(255)9.551%6.3
2nd(159)6.242%5.1
3rd(61)3.074%5.4
4th(5)1.2100%3.8
All (480)51%5.8

Georgia, all games.