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Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech · 2022 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#111
Efficiency
-8.3
97th FBS
Record
3-8
Conf. record
1-6
Conf. finish
T-13th
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Virginia Tech went 3-8 and was ranked 111th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 62nd-ranked defense carried them, with a 121st-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with an 111th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 109th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-3
Q3
1-1
Q4
2-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
116th
-5.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
72nd
full season
72nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
39th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Old DominionSun Belt#117L 1720+1.00%-12.6Q4
2vs Boston CollegeACC#113W 2710+4.9100%2.3Q4
3vs WoffordSouthernW 277+24.1100%-4.7Q4
4vs West VirginiaBig 12#63L 1033-9.70%-23.5Q3
5@ North CarolinaACC#37L 1041-15.30%-21.6Q2
6@ PittsburghACC#26L 2945-20.80%-0.1Q1
7vs Miami-FLACC#86L 1420-0.90%-16.6Q4
9@ NC StateACC#36L 2122-17.20%8.4Q2
10vs Georgia TechACC#76L 2728-0.60%-19.9Q4
11@ DukeACC#35L 724-19.90%-5.4Q2
12@ LibertyFBS Independents#71W 2322-6.4100%1.8Q3

11 played · 3-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Virginia Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-20.9-7.5+5.9-132-5-23-22-0-178-20-52Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 111th
SR 115thYPP 113thEPA 100th
RushingEff 109th
SR 114thYPP 106thEPA 104th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 51st
SR 20thYPP 60thEPA 63rd
Rush defenseEff 47th
SR 41stYPP 58thEPA 46th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo -2.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 61st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 38%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 33%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 36%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 44.0Q1 · Allowed: 47.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 72.0Q2 · Allowed: 66.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 48.0Q3 · Allowed: 64.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 24.0Q4 · Allowed: 76.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledVirginia TechOffenseDefense
Virginia Tech Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 121st
-10.4
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: -9.0
Field position -1.5Finishing drives -9.0= -10.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 114th · Finishing 117th

Defensive EffRanked 62nd
+0.8
Field position: +0.9Finishing drives: -0.1
Field position +0.9Finishing drives -0.1= +0.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 43rd · Finishing 63rd

1.26 points per drive on offense, 1.74 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(167)54% / 46%38%5.4
Q2(203)48% / 52%40%4.8
Q3(163)53% / 47%34%5.5
Q4(177)54% / 46%38%4.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(124)10.440%5.6
2nd(140)8.639%6.8
3rd(99)8.326%3.4
4th(5)8.420%1.4
All (368)36%5.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(177)9.737%4.0
2nd(106)7.042%4.9
3rd(52)7.244%5.3
4th(7)1.957%2.7
All (342)40%4.4

Virginia Tech, all games.