FanBoardHQ

Miami-FL

University of Miami · 2022 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#86
Efficiency
-4.7
82nd FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-10th
of 14
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Miami-FL went 5-7 and was ranked 86th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 54th-ranked defense carried them, with a 101st-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with an 85th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 77th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-3
Q3
2-1
Q4
3-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
87th
-3.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
66th
full season
66th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
50th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Bethune-CookmanSWACW 7013+40.4100%8.1Q4
2vs Southern MissSun Belt#82W 307+5.4100%13.1Q4
3@ Texas A&MSEC#68L 917-12.60%0.3Q2
4vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#77L 3145+6.00%-24.4Q4
6vs North CarolinaACC#37L 2427-6.10%-5.8Q3
7@ Virginia TechACC#111W 2014+0.9100%3.6Q4
8vs DukeACC#35L 2145-10.70%-12.1Q2
9@ VirginiaACC#100W 1412-1.3100%-3.0Q3
10vs Florida StateACC#18L 345-18.90%-20.6Q1
11@ Georgia TechACC#76W 3514-2.5100%20.5Q3
12@ ClemsonACC#15L 1040-22.40%-12.1Q1
13vs PittsburghACC#26L 1642-11.70%-23.9Q2

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Miami-FL, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-20.8-1.9+16.98130-24-64-12-3-2121-12-24Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 85th
SR 62ndYPP 98thEPA 84th
RushingEff 77th
SR 33rdYPP 83rdEPA 102nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 94th
SR 73rdYPP 119thEPA 88th
Rush defenseEff 51st
SR 68thYPP 43rdEPA 49th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo -1.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 49th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 50.0Q1 · Allowed: 72.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 69.0Q2 · Allowed: 100.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 61.0Q3 · Allowed: 37.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 83.0Q4 · Allowed: 89.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMiami-FLOffenseDefense
Miami-FL Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 101st
-6.3
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: -5.9
Field position -0.4Finishing drives -5.9= -6.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 76th · Finishing 102nd

Defensive EffRanked 54th
+1.2
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: +0.8
Field position +0.4Finishing drives +0.8= +1.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 56th · Finishing 55th

1.88 points per drive on offense, 2.06 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(213)53% / 47%48%5.3
Q2(205)54% / 46%48%5.7
Q3(180)52% / 48%45%6.8
Q4(203)59% / 41%43%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(179)10.245%6.5
2nd(143)9.348%6.8
3rd(99)8.331%4.9
4th(15)4.140%3.2
All (436)43%6.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(182)9.646%5.4
2nd(114)6.952%4.9
3rd(61)4.157%4.5
4th(8)2.163%3.5
All (365)50%5.1

Miami-FL, all games.