FanBoardHQ

SMU

Southern Methodist University · 2022 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#64
Efficiency
+2.5
62nd FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 11
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SMU went 7-6 and was ranked 64th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 26th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 91st-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 27th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 60th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-2
Q3
3-2
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
65th
-2.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
63rd
full season
63rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
67th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ North TexasConference USA#80W 4810+3.4100%28.7Q3
2vs LamarSouthlandW 4516+47.5100%-18.6Q4
3@ MarylandBig Ten#32L 2734-7.20%1.4Q2
4vs TCUBig 12#2L 3442-13.10%8.2Q1
6@ UCFAmerican Athletic#44L 1941-5.70%-12.4Q2
7vs NavyAmerican Athletic#95W 4034+8.0100%2.3Q4
8vs CincinnatiAmerican Athletic#39L 2729+0.30%-0.2Q3
9@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#90W 4534+4.5100%10.9Q3
10vs HoustonAmerican Athletic#55W 7763+2.0100%17.8Q3
11@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#130W 4123+15.3100%8.5Q4
12@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#19L 2459-12.30%-18.4Q1
13vs MemphisAmerican Athletic#65W 3431+2.5100%5.1Q4
Postseason
vs BYUFBS Independents#57L 2324+2.20%-1.2Q3

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on SMU, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-14.8+5.0+24.929-1918-122-011188-185Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 27th
SR 41stYPP 21stEPA 25th
RushingEff 60th
SR 57thYPP 79thEPA 51st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 44th
SR 45thYPP 45thEPA 44th
Rush defenseEff 128th
SR 109thYPP 132ndEPA 134th
Dropback rate 53%Tempo +8.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 72nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 49%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 106.0Q1 · Allowed: 86.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 144.0Q2 · Allowed: 130.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 115.0Q3 · Allowed: 99.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 110.0Q4 · Allowed: 118.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSMUOffenseDefense
SMU Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 26th
+7.2
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: +7.7
Field position -0.5Finishing drives +7.7= +7.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 83rd · Finishing 21st

Defensive EffRanked 91st
-3.6
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: -2.9
Field position -0.7Finishing drives -2.9= -3.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 90th · Finishing 90th

2.78 points per drive on offense, 2.66 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(250)56% / 44%45%6.0
Q2(282)52% / 48%44%6.3
Q3(223)57% / 43%47%7.0
Q4(231)48% / 52%47%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(217)10.247%8.4
2nd(154)8.444%6.0
3rd(131)7.746%7.9
4th(23)4.630%3.9
All (525)45%7.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(218)9.446%5.1
2nd(162)6.541%5.2
3rd(67)4.551%3.9
4th(14)1.2100%3.6
All (461)46%4.9

SMU, all games.