FanBoardHQ

Tulane

Tulane University · 2022 · American Athletic

FanBoardHQ CFP
#19
Efficiency
+12.0
20th FBS
Record
12-2
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
1st
of 11
Tulane Fanboard →

Tulane went 12-2 and was ranked 19th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 25th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 30th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 28th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 32nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-0
Q2
2-0
Q3
3-1
Q4
5-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 12.0 wins
Strength of Record
16th
+2.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
68th
full season
68th
CFP committee
#16
FanBoardHQ has them 3 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
86th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs MassachusettsFBS Independents#131W 4210+41.5100%6.4Q4
2vs Alcorn StateSWACW 520+44.2100%10.1Q4
3@ Kansas StateBig 12#7W 1710-9.4100%28.4Q1
4vs Southern MissSun Belt#82L 2427+22.10%-14.6Q4
5@ HoustonAmerican Athletic#55W 2724+6.0100%7.7Q2
6vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#58W 249+11.7100%15.7Q3
7@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#130W 4531+24.8100%2.5Q4
8vs MemphisAmerican Athletic#65W 3828+12.0100%22.5Q4
10@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#90W 2713+14.0100%13.9Q3
11vs UCFAmerican Athletic#44L 3138+9.40%-4.5Q3
12vs SMUAmerican Athletic#64W 5924+12.3100%32.1Q4
13@ CincinnatiAmerican Athletic#39W 2724+4.4100%10.7Q2
14vs UCFAmerican Athletic#44W 4528+9.4100%16.7Q3
Postseason
vs USCPac-12#10W 4645-3.6100%19.3Q1

14 played · 12-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Tulane, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-10.9+8.8+28.461028-1581622314-5321117Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 32nd
SR 61stYPP 25thEPA 29th
RushingEff 28th
SR 56thYPP 26thEPA 24th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 30th
SR 46thYPP 15thEPA 31st
Rush defenseEff 46th
SR 61stYPP 22ndEPA 56th
Dropback rate 45%Tempo +1.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 70th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 106.0Q1 · Allowed: 37.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 146.0Q2 · Allowed: 110.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 121.0Q3 · Allowed: 69.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 124.0Q4 · Allowed: 89.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTulaneOffenseDefense
Tulane Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 25th
+7.3
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: +6.1
Field position +1.2Finishing drives +6.1= +7.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 22nd · Finishing 29th

Defensive EffRanked 30th
+5.5
Field position: +0.6Finishing drives: +5.0
Field position +0.6Finishing drives +5.0= +5.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 52nd · Finishing 31st

2.86 points per drive on offense, 1.81 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(222)45% / 55%48%6.9
Q2(250)49% / 51%43%6.3
Q3(212)43% / 57%43%7.6
Q4(247)38% / 62%48%6.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(182)10.045%8.8
2nd(127)8.050%8.0
3rd(84)7.931%5.5
4th(15)5.560%7.1
All (408)44%7.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(248)9.542%6.1
2nd(177)7.349%6.6
3rd(86)5.349%4.8
4th(12)1.675%2.3
All (523)46%6.0

Tulane, all games.