FanBoardHQ

Kansas State

Kansas State University · 2023 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#14
Efficiency
+22.4
6th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 14
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Kansas State went 9-4 and was ranked 14th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 7th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 25th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 9th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 27th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-2
Q2
4-2
Q3
0-0
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
17th
+1.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
11th
full season
11th
CFP committee
#25
FanBoardHQ has them 11 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
47th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Southeast Missouri StateBig South-OVCW 450+42.4100%24.8Q4
2vs TroySun Belt#28W 4213+15.8100%29.7Q2
3@ MissouriSEC#8L 2730+1.30%19.3Q1
4vs UCFBig 12#56W 4431+17.6100%20.2Q2
6@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#17L 2129+12.40%1.6Q2
7@ Texas TechBig 12#33W 3821+8.9100%30.1Q1
8vs TCUBig 12#61W 413+17.2100%35.6Q2
9vs HoustonBig 12#93W 410+30.0100%30.0Q4
10@ TexasBig 12#3L 3033-3.80%24.8Q1
11vs BaylorBig 12#110W 5925+33.6100%26.4Q4
12@ KansasBig 12#18W 3127+5.8100%18.5Q1
13vs Iowa StateBig 12#39L 3542+14.40%-1.8Q2
Postseason
vs NC StateACC#26W 2819+13.0100%20.5Q2

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kansas State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.2+16.9+32.6253019202303630252619-2Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 27th
SR 22ndYPP 39thEPA 29th
RushingEff 9th
SR 7thYPP 35thEPA 10th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 35th
SR 19thYPP 47thEPA 42nd
Rush defenseEff 70th
SR 19thYPP 123rdEPA 72nd
Dropback rate 48%Tempo +6.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 46th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 50%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 33%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 100.0Q1 · Allowed: 64.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 160.0Q2 · Allowed: 86.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 96.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 111.0Q4 · Allowed: 53.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKansas StateOffenseDefense
Kansas State Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 7th
+14.4
Field position: +0.9Finishing drives: +13.5
Field position +0.9Finishing drives +13.5= +14.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 32nd · Finishing 7th

Defensive EffRanked 25th
+6.5
Field position: +2.0Finishing drives: +4.5
Field position +2.0Finishing drives +4.5= +6.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 12th · Finishing 28th

2.93 points per drive on offense, 1.66 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(234)46% / 54%52%6.7
Q2(257)51% / 49%47%6.2
Q3(218)46% / 54%47%6.4
Q4(243)43% / 57%41%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(183)10.148%7.5
2nd(129)7.544%6.4
3rd(115)7.339%6.0
4th(16)4.944%7.1
All (443)44%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(246)9.444%4.5
2nd(182)7.648%6.2
3rd(73)5.063%6.5
4th(8)2.188%7.6
All (509)49%5.5

Kansas State, all games.