FanBoardHQ

Houston

University of Houston · 2023 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#93
Efficiency
-4.8
86th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
2-7
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 14
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Houston went 4-8 and was ranked 93rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 62nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 106th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 57% of offensive plays with an 87th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with an 118th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
1-2
Q3
0-1
Q4
3-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
93rd
-3.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
39th
full season
39th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
39th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#55W 1714-2.4100%0.5Q4
2@ RiceAmerican Athletic#88L 4143-0.70%-6.0Q4
3vs TCUBig 12#61L 1336-10.10%-19.6Q2
4vs Sam HoustonConference USA#118W 387+11.4100%14.6Q4
5@ Texas TechBig 12#33L 2849-18.30%-7.7Q1
7vs West VirginiaBig 12#25W 4139-12.9100%7.6Q2
8vs TexasBig 12#3L 2431-25.50%12.4Q1
9@ Kansas StateBig 12#14L 041-30.00%-20.5Q1
10@ BaylorBig 12#110W 2524+0.9100%-4.7Q4
11vs CincinnatiBig 12#106L 1424+0.90%-18.0Q4
12vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#17L 3043-9.40%-6.9Q3
13@ UCFBig 12#56L 1327-15.10%-9.8Q2

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Houston, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-17.7-2.9+11.80-6-2015-8812-21-5-18-7-10Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 87th
SR 82ndYPP 96thEPA 86th
RushingEff 118th
SR 112thYPP 99thEPA 123rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 112th
SR 119thYPP 105thEPA 114th
Rush defenseEff 84th
SR 81stYPP 59thEPA 88th
Dropback rate 57%Tempo +0.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 55th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 50%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 51.0Q1 · Allowed: 97.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 83.0Q2 · Allowed: 93.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 31.0Q3 · Allowed: 72.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 90.0Q4 · Allowed: 97.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledHoustonOffenseDefense
Houston Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 62nd
+0.0
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: -0.2
Field position +0.2Finishing drives -0.2= +0.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 56th · Finishing 66th

Defensive EffRanked 106th
-5.7
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: -6.9
Field position +1.1Finishing drives -6.9= -5.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 28th · Finishing 119th

1.81 points per drive on offense, 2.46 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(174)57% / 43%41%5.9
Q2(224)63% / 37%40%5.7
Q3(181)57% / 43%37%4.8
Q4(181)52% / 48%41%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(173)10.147%7.1
2nd(136)8.939%6.3
3rd(107)8.331%5.3
4th(23)5.030%3.5
All (440)40%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(164)9.739%4.8
2nd(103)7.240%4.8
3rd(48)5.946%5.4
4th(4)1.025%0.5
All (320)40%4.9

Houston, all games.