FanBoardHQ

Kansas State

Kansas State University · 2024 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#24
Efficiency
+13.2
23rd FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
5-4
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 16
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Kansas State went 9-4 and was ranked 24th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 21st-ranked defense carried them, with a 32nd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 22nd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 33rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-3
Q2
3-0
Q3
2-1
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
26th
+0.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
37th
full season
37th
CFP committee
Unranked
FanBoardHQ has them 2 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
78th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UT MartinBig South-OVCW 416+26.8100%16.7Q4
2@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#42W 3427-0.3100%21.1Q2
3vs ArizonaBig 12#98W 317+22.7100%20.8Q4
4@ BYUBig 12#7L 938-6.20%-15.7Q1
5vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#101W 4220+17.7100%16.3Q4
7@ ColoradoBig 12#26W 3128-1.9100%19.9Q1
8@ West VirginiaBig 12#68W 4518+11.2100%31.2Q3
9vs KansasBig 12#48W 2927+3.5100%12.2Q2
10@ HoustonBig 12#90L 1924+12.60%-4.3Q3
12vs Arizona StateBig 12#8L 1424-1.70%0.5Q1
13vs CincinnatiBig 12#70W 4115+11.2100%31.0Q3
14@ Iowa StateBig 12#13L 2129-2.50%8.4Q1
Postseason
vs RutgersBig Ten#49W 4441+7.8100%8.5Q2

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kansas State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-12.0+7.8+27.5172121-1616203112-40318Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 33rd
SR 41stYPP 42ndEPA 21st
RushingEff 22nd
SR 47thYPP 4thEPA 29th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 37th
SR 10thYPP 42ndEPA 60th
Rush defenseEff 25th
SR 11thYPP 37thEPA 34th
Dropback rate 49%Tempo -1.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 61st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 39%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 67.0Q1 · Allowed: 55.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 100.0Q2 · Allowed: 114.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 113.0Q3 · Allowed: 41.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 93.0Q4 · Allowed: 73.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKansas StateOffenseDefense
Kansas State Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 32nd
+5.5
Field position: +1.6Finishing drives: +3.9
Field position +1.6Finishing drives +3.9= +5.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 19th · Finishing 34th

Defensive EffRanked 21st
+7.7
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: +8.2
Field position -0.5Finishing drives +8.2= +7.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 91st · Finishing 14th

2.42 points per drive on offense, 1.70 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(193)49% / 51%46%6.2
Q2(209)48% / 52%43%7.0
Q3(209)44% / 56%47%7.6
Q4(220)46% / 54%41%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(159)10.051%8.4
2nd(123)7.737%5.6
3rd(91)7.533%5.1
4th(16)5.769%14.4
All (389)43%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(219)10.043%7.3
2nd(139)7.744%6.3
3rd(75)5.655%5.9
4th(9)2.644%-0.4
All (442)45%6.6

Kansas State, all games.