FanBoardHQ

Ohio

Ohio University · 2022 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#62
Efficiency
-4.1
78th FBS
Record
10-4
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
1st
of 12
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Ohio went 10-4 and was ranked 62nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 56th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 97th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 21st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with an 87th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-0
Q4
10-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
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14
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
49th
-1.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
116th
full season
116th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
131st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~8.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Florida AtlanticConference USA#97W 4138+4.6100%-5.9Q4
2@ Penn StateBig Ten#8L 1046-25.50%-10.2Q1
3@ Iowa StateBig 12#70L 1043-15.60%-18.8Q2
4vs FordhamPatriotW 5952+14.9100%-17.6Q4
5@ Kent StateMid-American#94L 2431+2.10%-7.2Q4
6vs AkronMid-American#127W 5534+17.2100%11.6Q4
7@ Western MichiganMid-American#110W 3314+9.8100%2.7Q4
8vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#122W 2417+17.5100%-13.4Q4
10vs BuffaloMid-American#87W 4524+6.3100%9.3Q4
11@ Miami-OHMid-American#101W 3721+6.5100%4.2Q4
12@ Ball StateMid-American#108W 3218+7.3100%2.2Q4
13vs Bowling GreenMid-American#104W 3814+15.6100%5.2Q4
14vs ToledoMid-American#69L 717-0.20%-13.3Q4
Postseason
vs WyomingMountain West#83W 3027+6.0100%-6.6Q4

14 played · 10-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Ohio, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-16.4-3.6+9.2-6-10-19-18-7123-139425-13Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 21st
SR 24thYPP 24thEPA 22nd
RushingEff 87th
SR 77thYPP 95thEPA 92nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 126th
SR 130thYPP 120thEPA 126th
Rush defenseEff 111th
SR 86thYPP 127thEPA 107th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo +0.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 82nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 76.0Q1 · Allowed: 83.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 149.0Q2 · Allowed: 104.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 73.0Q3 · Allowed: 90.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 125.0Q4 · Allowed: 103.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOhioOffenseDefense
Ohio Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 56th
+0.7
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: +1.6
Field position -0.8Finishing drives +1.6= +0.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 98th · Finishing 53rd

Defensive EffRanked 97th
-4.4
Field position: +0.6Finishing drives: -5.1
Field position +0.6Finishing drives -5.1= -4.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 50th · Finishing 103rd

2.36 points per drive on offense, 2.20 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(212)53% / 47%45%5.9
Q2(274)57% / 43%51%7.0
Q3(223)52% / 48%43%6.2
Q4(241)45% / 55%39%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)10.145%6.9
2nd(165)8.652%8.3
3rd(116)8.344%8.4
4th(12)5.417%1.0
All (491)47%7.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(228)9.741%5.0
2nd(154)7.445%4.4
3rd(73)5.742%4.5
4th(4)4.550%2.5
All (459)43%4.7

Ohio, all games.