FanBoardHQ

Louisiana

University of Louisiana at Lafayette · 2022 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#88
Efficiency
-4.0
77th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 14
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Louisiana went 6-7 and was ranked 88th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 66th-ranked defense carried them, with a 91st-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 105th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 76th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-1
Q4
5-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
90th
-4.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
97th
full season
97th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
98th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs SE LouisianaSouthlandW 247+13.8100%-0.3Q4
2vs Eastern MichiganMid-American#75W 4921+8.8100%12.2Q4
3@ RiceConference USA#109L 2133+7.80%-26.5Q4
4@ ULMSun Belt#112L 1721+8.80%-16.4Q4
5vs South AlabamaSun Belt#53L 1720-0.60%-6.2Q4
7@ MarshallSun Belt#59W 2313-6.2100%11.6Q3
8vs Arkansas StateSun Belt#118W 3818+12.4100%8.4Q4
9@ Southern MissSun Belt#82L 2439+0.60%-18.0Q4
10vs TroySun Belt#28L 1723-3.30%-7.6Q4
11vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#92W 3617+6.2100%7.8Q4
12@ Florida StateACC#18L 1749-23.70%-22.2Q1
13@ Texas StateSun Belt#114W 4113+6.2100%13.1Q4
Postseason
vs HoustonAmerican Athletic#55L 1623-7.20%-7.4Q3

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-23.4-6.7+10.0-012-27-16-6128-18-88-2213Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 105th
SR 108thYPP 115thEPA 98th
RushingEff 76th
SR 52ndYPP 78thEPA 95th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 55th
SR 44thYPP 74thEPA 60th
Rush defenseEff 97th
SR 93rdYPP 74thEPA 108th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo -1.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 68th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 61.0Q1 · Allowed: 62.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 86.0Q2 · Allowed: 72.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 72.0Q3 · Allowed: 69.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 100.0Q4 · Allowed: 78.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisianaOffenseDefense
Louisiana Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 91st
-4.9
Field position: +0.9Finishing drives: -5.7
Field position +0.9Finishing drives -5.7= -4.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 31st · Finishing 101st

Defensive EffRanked 66th
+0.4
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: -0.3
Field position +0.7Finishing drives -0.3= +0.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 49th · Finishing 66th

2.04 points per drive on offense, 1.80 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(217)56% / 44%38%5.1
Q2(211)53% / 47%40%5.7
Q3(207)53% / 47%43%5.8
Q4(245)47% / 53%42%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(174)10.244%6.6
2nd(152)8.535%5.4
3rd(115)7.529%4.9
4th(18)3.956%7.0
All (459)38%5.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)9.739%4.6
2nd(131)7.143%5.1
3rd(69)5.254%5.6
4th(15)1.767%3.9
All (421)44%4.9

Louisiana, all games.