FanBoardHQ

Georgia Southern

Georgia Southern University · 2022 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#92
Efficiency
-7.4
93rd FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 14
Georgia Southern Fanboard →

Georgia Southern went 6-7 and was ranked 92nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 58th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 124th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 63% of offensive plays with a 43rd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 37% of plays with a 59th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
Q3
2-3
Q4
4-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
92nd
-4.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
108th
full season
108th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
85th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Morgan StateMEACW 597+28.8100%-4.6Q4
2@ NebraskaBig Ten#91W 4542-8.2100%3.8Q3
3@ UABConference USA#74L 2135-10.00%-11.9Q3
4vs Ball StateMid-American#108W 3423+9.5100%-5.6Q4
5@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#66L 3034-1.50%-11.4Q4
6@ Georgia StateSun Belt#105L 3341-3.90%-12.8Q3
7vs James MadisonSun Belt#51W 4538-9.5100%9.4Q3
8@ Old DominionSun Belt#117W 2823+1.9100%-4.2Q4
10vs South AlabamaSun Belt#53L 3138-4.10%-11.1Q4
11@ LouisianaSun Belt#88L 1736-6.20%-19.1Q3
12vs MarshallSun Belt#59L 1023-4.20%-15.8Q4
13vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#81W 5148-2.1100%-3.9Q4
Postseason
vs BuffaloMid-American#87L 2123+0.20%-9.1Q4

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia Southern, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-16.8-4.9+7.1-54-12-6-11-139-4-11-19-16-4Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 43rd
SR 23rdYPP 61stEPA 47th
RushingEff 59th
SR 46thYPP 67thEPA 59th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 96th
SR 85thYPP 105thEPA 93rd
Rush defenseEff 127th
SR 120thYPP 126thEPA 131st
Dropback rate 63%Tempo +12.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 61st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 50%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 55.0Q1 · Allowed: 74.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 112.0Q2 · Allowed: 138.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 118.0Q3 · Allowed: 80.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 126.0Q4 · Allowed: 113.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgia SouthernOffenseDefense
Georgia Southern Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 58th
+0.6
Field position: -2.9Finishing drives: +3.5
Field position -2.9Finishing drives +3.5= +0.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 131st · Finishing 40th

Defensive EffRanked 124th
-9.7
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -9.4
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -9.4= -9.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 75th · Finishing 124th

2.46 points per drive on offense, 2.41 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(208)58% / 42%43%5.7
Q2(285)64% / 36%48%6.4
Q3(208)65% / 35%47%7.1
Q4(272)64% / 36%46%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(262)10.148%7.5
2nd(201)8.246%6.2
3rd(136)7.744%6.6
4th(13)8.038%7.6
All (613)46%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(176)9.541%4.8
2nd(115)6.344%5.5
3rd(58)2.960%5.2
4th(11)2.073%9.2
All (360)46%5.2

Georgia Southern, all games.