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James Madison

James Madison University · 2022 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#51
Efficiency
+4.9
52nd FBS
Record
8-3
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
T-3rd
of 14
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James Madison went 8-3 and was ranked 51st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 42nd-ranked defense carried them, with a 64th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 64th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 37th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-0
Q4
7-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
48th
-1.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
117th
full season
117th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
106th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#77W 447+15.6100%22.9Q4
2vs Norfolk StateMEACW 637+50.9100%3.6Q4
4@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#81W 3228+4.7100%3.4Q3
5vs Texas StateSun Belt#114W 4013+20.5100%10.7Q4
6@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#118W 4220+15.7100%8.9Q4
7@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#92L 3845+9.50%-11.8Q4
8vs MarshallSun Belt#59L 1226+8.10%-13.3Q4
10@ LouisvilleACC#27L 1034-9.00%-10.6Q1
11@ Old DominionSun Belt#117W 373+14.2100%23.2Q4
12vs Georgia StateSun Belt#105W 4240+13.9100%-8.4Q4
13vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#66W 477+16.3100%24.9Q4

11 played · 8-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on James Madison, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-10.2+5.8+21.82343119-12-13-1123-825Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 37th
SR 42ndYPP 44thEPA 35th
RushingEff 64th
SR 44thYPP 65thEPA 85th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 20th
SR 7thYPP 33rdEPA 19th
Rush defenseEff 2nd
SR 1stYPP 2ndEPA 5th
Dropback rate 47%Tempo -1.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 80th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 30%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 29%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 30%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 71.0Q1 · Allowed: 17.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 110.0Q2 · Allowed: 68.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 118.0Q3 · Allowed: 68.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 98.0Q4 · Allowed: 55.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledJames MadisonOffenseDefense
James Madison Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 64th
-0.0
Field position: +0.6Finishing drives: -0.7
Field position +0.6Finishing drives -0.7= -0.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 38th · Finishing 67th

Defensive EffRanked 42nd
+3.1
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: +4.1
Field position -1.0Finishing drives +4.1= +3.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 97th · Finishing 34th

2.54 points per drive on offense, 1.39 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(211)45% / 55%46%6.1
Q2(211)48% / 52%50%6.5
Q3(200)41% / 60%46%6.3
Q4(171)42% / 58%38%6.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(142)10.052%8.9
2nd(102)8.749%9.7
3rd(92)8.034%4.8
4th(12)4.342%3.9
All (348)46%7.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(219)9.741%4.9
2nd(159)7.048%4.7
3rd(57)5.649%5.6
4th(10)1.650%5.5
All (445)45%5.0

James Madison, all games.

James Madison Football 2022 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ