FanBoardHQ

Marshall

Marshall University · 2022 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#59
Efficiency
-0.5
68th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
5th
of 14
Marshall Fanboard →

Marshall went 9-4 and was ranked 59th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 11th-ranked defense carried them, with a 124th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 63rd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with an 118th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-0
Q2
1-0
Q3
0-1
Q4
7-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
55th
-1.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
106th
full season
106th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
83rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Norfolk StateMEACW 553+45.5100%-3.7Q4
2@ Notre DameFBS Independents#21W 2621-14.9100%20.4Q1
3@ Bowling GreenMid-American#104L 3134+13.70%-15.2Q4
4@ TroySun Belt#28L 716-5.30%-3.9Q3
5vs Gardner-WebbBig SouthW 287+13.8100%1.4Q4
7vs LouisianaSun Belt#88L 1323+6.20%-16.0Q4
8@ James MadisonSun Belt#51W 2612-8.1100%17.7Q2
9vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#66L 1324+10.90%-22.1Q4
10@ Old DominionSun Belt#117W 120+8.9100%1.5Q4
11vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#81W 2821+4.8100%5.1Q4
12@ Georgia SouthernSun Belt#92W 2310+4.2100%8.0Q4
13vs Georgia StateSun Belt#105W 2823+8.5100%-3.6Q4
Postseason
vs UConnFBS Independents#99W 2814+14.4100%3.9Q4

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Marshall, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-18.7-0.9+17.0-420-15-41-1618-22258-4Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 118th
SR 84thYPP 118thEPA 122nd
RushingEff 63rd
SR 49thYPP 52ndEPA 86th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 7th
SR 1stYPP 34thEPA 5th
Rush defenseEff 12th
SR 5thYPP 13thEPA 17th
Dropback rate 43%Tempo +9.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 71st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 30%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 28%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 52.0Q1 · Allowed: 50.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 117.0Q2 · Allowed: 45.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 67.0Q3 · Allowed: 37.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 55.0Q4 · Allowed: 58.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarshallOffenseDefense
Marshall Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 124th
-10.9
Field position: +0.1Finishing drives: -11.0
Field position +0.1Finishing drives -11.0= -10.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 57th · Finishing 126th

Defensive EffRanked 11th
+9.8
Field position: -0.6Finishing drives: +10.4
Field position -0.6Finishing drives +10.4= +9.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 87th · Finishing 6th

1.43 points per drive on offense, 1.01 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(251)46% / 54%43%5.4
Q2(255)44% / 56%44%6.0
Q3(235)43% / 57%41%4.9
Q4(211)31% / 69%41%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(146)10.249%6.5
2nd(150)8.737%5.6
3rd(95)9.628%4.9
4th(5)9.220%14.6
All (396)39%5.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(266)9.845%5.8
2nd(168)6.944%4.6
3rd(108)5.945%5.8
4th(14)2.636%-0.6
All (556)45%5.3

Marshall, all games.