FanBoardHQ

Coastal Carolina

Coastal Carolina University · 2022 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#66
Efficiency
-8.6
98th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-3rd
of 14
Coastal Carolina Fanboard →

Coastal Carolina went 9-4 and was ranked 66th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 54th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 122nd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 41st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 9th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
2-2
Q4
7-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
51st
-1.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
100th
full season
100th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
120th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs ArmyFBS Independents#84W 3828-0.1100%5.1Q4
2vs Gardner-WebbBig SouthW 3127+5.7100%-12.7Q4
3vs BuffaloMid-American#87W 3826+1.8100%2.0Q4
4@ Georgia StateSun Belt#105W 4124-5.2100%11.8Q3
5vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#92W 3430+1.5100%-4.6Q4
6@ ULMSun Belt#112W 2821+4.1100%-5.6Q4
7vs Old DominionSun Belt#117L 2149+6.20%-44.9Q4
9@ MarshallSun Belt#59W 2413-10.9100%13.0Q3
10vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#81W 3528-3.3100%3.9Q4
11vs Southern MissSun Belt#82W 2623+1.4100%-6.4Q4
13@ James MadisonSun Belt#51L 747-16.30%-28.6Q2
14@ TroySun Belt#28L 2645-13.50%-21.5Q3
Postseason
vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#58L 2953-11.70%-23.9Q3

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Coastal Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-40.3-15.9+8.45-13212-5-6-45134-6-29-22Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 9th
SR 16thYPP 14thEPA 8th
RushingEff 41st
SR 31stYPP 50thEPA 40th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 134th
SR 124thYPP 135thEPA 134th
Rush defenseEff 114th
SR 95thYPP 121stEPA 116th
Dropback rate 44%Tempo -2.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 70th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 49%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 118.0Q1 · Allowed: 71.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 76.0Q2 · Allowed: 137.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 58.0Q3 · Allowed: 113.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 115.0Q4 · Allowed: 86.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledCoastal CarolinaOffenseDefense
Coastal Carolina Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 54th
+1.1
Field position: -1.7Finishing drives: +2.8
Field position -1.7Finishing drives +2.8= +1.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 119th · Finishing 45th

Defensive EffRanked 122nd
-9.4
Field position: -1.6Finishing drives: -7.9
Field position -1.6Finishing drives -7.9= -9.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 111th · Finishing 122nd

2.32 points per drive on offense, 2.60 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(211)44% / 56%49%7.5
Q2(227)55% / 45%45%5.5
Q3(185)45% / 55%48%6.0
Q4(240)38% / 62%43%6.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(157)10.060%9.2
2nd(122)8.442%7.1
3rd(100)7.939%7.7
4th(13)6.754%7.5
All (392)49%8.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(240)9.842%5.2
2nd(152)7.339%4.4
3rd(68)6.256%5.3
4th(11)2.582%3.9
All (471)44%4.9

Coastal Carolina, all games.