FanBoardHQ

Akron

University of Akron · 2024 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#112
Efficiency
-13.9
118th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
8th
of 12
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Akron went 4-8 and was ranked 112th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 95th-ranked defense carried them, with an 117th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 125th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 91st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-2
Q4
4-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
107th
-5.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
67th
full season
67th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
106th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Ohio StateBig Ten#1L 652-46.70%-5.8Q1
2@ RutgersBig Ten#49L 1749-22.10%-21.3Q2
3vs ColgatePatriotW 3120+25.4100%-29.8Q4
4@ South CarolinaSEC#16L 750-32.80%-11.7Q1
5@ OhioMid-American#46L 1030-16.30%-14.9Q3
6vs Bowling GreenMid-American#72L 2027-9.90%-19.8Q4
7@ Western MichiganMid-American#95L 2434-6.20%-10.8Q4
9vs Eastern MichiganMid-American#108W 2521+1.7100%-12.2Q4
10vs BuffaloMid-American#64L 3041-4.20%-22.7Q4
12@ Northern IllinoisMid-American#65L 1629-14.80%-11.0Q3
13@ Kent StateMid-American#134W 3817+17.6100%-4.3Q4
14vs ToledoMid-American#71W 2114-8.4100%-3.1Q4

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Akron, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.4-14.9-2.4-6-21-30-12-15-20-11-12-23-11-4-3Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 125th
SR 120thYPP 131stEPA 122nd
RushingEff 91st
SR 70thYPP 105thEPA 92nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 106th
SR 101stYPP 98thEPA 108th
Rush defenseEff 92nd
SR 83rdYPP 104thEPA 86th
Dropback rate 62%Tempo -1.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 69th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 47%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 57.0Q1 · Allowed: 90.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 71.0Q2 · Allowed: 92.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 31.0Q3 · Allowed: 73.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 62.0Q4 · Allowed: 107.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledAkronOffenseDefense
Akron Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 117th
-8.1
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -6.8
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -6.8= -8.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 104th · Finishing 113th

Defensive EffRanked 95th
-3.8
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: -3.4
Field position -0.5Finishing drives -3.4= -3.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 89th · Finishing 95th

1.45 points per drive on offense, 2.25 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(163)65% / 35%42%5.7
Q2(198)58% / 42%41%5.2
Q3(182)55% / 45%36%4.8
Q4(215)60% / 40%40%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(184)10.341%5.3
2nd(144)9.036%5.2
3rd(113)9.128%5.6
4th(10)8.120%0.4
All (451)36%5.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(155)9.943%4.4
2nd(100)6.743%5.7
3rd(47)4.655%5.1
4th(5)1.640%1.4
All (307)45%4.9

Akron, all games.