FanBoardHQ

Ohio

Ohio University · 2024 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#46
Efficiency
-0.3
67th FBS
Record
11-3
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
1st
of 12
Ohio Fanboard →

Ohio went 11-3 and was ranked 46th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 57th-ranked defense carried them, with a 72nd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 42nd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 52nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-1
Q4
10-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
40th
-1.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
120th
full season
120th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
130th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~8.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ SyracuseACC#29L 2238-8.50%-10.5Q2
2vs South AlabamaSun Belt#83W 2720+5.5100%0.1Q4
3vs Morgan StateMEACW 216+34.6100%-19.6Q4
4@ KentuckySEC#77L 641-6.90%-31.8Q2
5vs AkronMid-American#112W 3010+16.3100%0.6Q4
7@ Central MichiganMid-American#116W 2725+13.6100%-11.3Q4
8@ Miami-OHMid-American#59L 2030-0.40%-13.9Q3
9vs BuffaloMid-American#64W 4716+9.4100%15.0Q4
11@ Kent StateMid-American#134W 410+31.2100%2.2Q4
12vs Eastern MichiganMid-American#108W 3510+15.3100%7.1Q4
13@ ToledoMid-American#71W 247-0.3100%16.6Q3
14vs Ball StateMid-American#122W 4221+21.0100%7.6Q4
15vs Miami-OHMid-American#59W 383+2.4100%30.9Q4
Postseason
vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#69W 3027+3.0100%-0.5Q4

14 played · 11-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Ohio, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-26.7-0.4+25.9-100-20-321-11-14152717831Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 52nd
SR 47thYPP 32ndEPA 70th
RushingEff 42nd
SR 53rdYPP 56thEPA 24th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 103rd
SR 81stYPP 93rdEPA 115th
Rush defenseEff 20th
SR 13thYPP 32ndEPA 20th
Dropback rate 42%Tempo -1.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 90th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 47%2nd · Defense allowed: 34%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 39%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 74.0Q1 · Allowed: 22.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 132.0Q2 · Allowed: 96.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 73.0Q3 · Allowed: 66.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 110.0Q4 · Allowed: 65.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOhioOffenseDefense
Ohio Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 72nd
-0.9
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: -0.1
Field position -0.8Finishing drives -0.1= -0.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 93rd · Finishing 69th

Defensive EffRanked 57th
+2.0
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: +1.1
Field position +1.0Finishing drives +1.1= +2.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 30th · Finishing 61st

2.40 points per drive on offense, 1.47 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(201)45% / 55%47%6.5
Q2(259)47% / 53%49%6.8
Q3(204)43% / 57%46%5.9
Q4(236)26% / 74%44%6.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(158)10.152%7.9
2nd(119)8.146%7.8
3rd(82)8.130%5.2
4th(3)1.0100%13.3
All (362)46%7.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(267)9.743%5.4
2nd(177)7.247%5.5
3rd(84)4.863%7.6
4th(9)2.444%2.1
All (538)47%5.7

Ohio, all games.