FanBoardHQ

Rutgers

Rutgers University–New Brunswick · 2024 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#49
Efficiency
+5.4
50th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 18
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Rutgers went 7-6 and was ranked 49th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 24th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 79th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 58th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 50th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-2
Q2
1-2
Q3
3-1
Q4
2-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
52nd
-1.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
55th
full season
55th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
63rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs HowardMEACW 447+43.8100%-5.2Q4
2vs AkronMid-American#112W 4917+22.1100%12.8Q4
4@ Virginia TechACC#52W 2623-9.3100%17.6Q1
5vs WashingtonBig Ten#53W 2118+3.3100%5.7Q3
6@ NebraskaBig Ten#43L 714-7.00%3.4Q2
7vs WisconsinBig Ten#60L 742+3.00%-28.7Q3
8vs UCLABig Ten#58L 3235+6.60%-3.3Q4
9@ USCBig Ten#34L 2042-11.60%-8.5Q1
11vs MinnesotaBig Ten#32W 2619-5.6100%18.1Q2
12@ MarylandBig Ten#89W 3117+2.3100%19.2Q3
13vs IllinoisBig Ten#18L 3138+0.00%-2.2Q2
14@ Michigan StateBig Ten#73W 4114+5.5100%30.2Q3
Postseason
vs Kansas StateBig 12#24L 4144-7.80%10.1Q1

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Rutgers, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.0+0.8+25.5-5131863-29-3-81819-230Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 50th
SR 43rdYPP 62ndEPA 53rd
RushingEff 58th
SR 48thYPP 69thEPA 67th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 54th
SR 37thYPP 75thEPA 49th
Rush defenseEff 111th
SR 107thYPP 102ndEPA 115th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo +4.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 53rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 58.0Q1 · Allowed: 68.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 119.0Q2 · Allowed: 83.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 73.0Q3 · Allowed: 84.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 117.0Q4 · Allowed: 94.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledRutgersOffenseDefense
Rutgers Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 24th
+6.6
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: +7.1
Field position -0.5Finishing drives +7.1= +6.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 77th · Finishing 18th

Defensive EffRanked 79th
-1.3
Field position: +1.6Finishing drives: -3.0
Field position +1.6Finishing drives -3.0= -1.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 17th · Finishing 92nd

2.59 points per drive on offense, 2.34 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(181)40% / 60%45%5.5
Q2(274)54% / 46%45%6.0
Q3(214)45% / 55%43%5.2
Q4(229)41% / 59%44%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(156)9.949%6.6
2nd(132)8.640%6.9
3rd(105)7.438%6.0
4th(17)4.641%3.1
All (410)43%6.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(242)9.342%4.6
2nd(160)6.346%5.0
3rd(75)4.052%4.9
4th(11)2.255%2.3
All (488)45%4.8

Rutgers, all games.