FanBoardHQ

Stanford

Stanford University · 2024 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#106
Efficiency
-5.3
87th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-14th
of 17
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Stanford went 3-9 and was ranked 106th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 71st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 104th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 65th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with an 111th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-3
Q2
1-3
Q3
0-1
Q4
1-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
113th
-4.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
29th
full season
29th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
31st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs TCUBig 12#30L 2734-12.90%1.1Q2
2vs Cal PolyBig SkyW 417+26.3100%0.9Q4
4@ SyracuseACC#29W 2624-13.4100%10.8Q2
5@ ClemsonACC#22L 1440-24.00%-4.6Q1
6vs Virginia TechACC#52L 731-14.40%-18.6Q2
7@ Notre DameFBS Independents#2L 749-33.50%-9.2Q1
8vs SMUACC#14L 1040-19.30%-11.7Q1
9vs Wake ForestACC#102L 2427+4.00%-12.2Q4
10@ NC StateACC#87L 2859-4.50%-29.9Q3
12vs LouisvilleACC#21W 3835-18.8100%15.9Q1
13@ CaliforniaACC#75L 2124-9.70%-0.0Q2
14@ San José StateMountain West#88L 3134-1.10%-6.0Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Stanford, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-26.2-7.0+12.21111-5-19-9-12-12-3016-0-6Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 111th
SR 82ndYPP 114thEPA 119th
RushingEff 65th
SR 52ndYPP 64thEPA 74th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 107th
SR 96thYPP 108thEPA 113th
Rush defenseEff 52nd
SR 70thYPP 38thEPA 51st
Dropback rate 49%Tempo -3.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 47th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 62.0Q1 · Allowed: 87.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 64.0Q2 · Allowed: 123.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 48.0Q3 · Allowed: 96.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 71.0Q4 · Allowed: 97.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledStanfordOffenseDefense
Stanford Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 71st
-0.7
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: -1.5
Field position +0.7Finishing drives -1.5= -0.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 39th · Finishing 80th

Defensive EffRanked 104th
-5.5
Field position: -0.6Finishing drives: -4.9
Field position -0.6Finishing drives -4.9= -5.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 94th · Finishing 106th

1.78 points per drive on offense, 2.83 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(206)43% / 57%44%5.3
Q2(212)50% / 50%39%5.1
Q3(171)53% / 47%38%4.8
Q4(200)59% / 41%43%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(147)10.446%5.5
2nd(143)9.038%6.3
3rd(89)8.335%4.2
4th(23)5.543%3.8
All (402)41%5.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(186)9.840%4.2
2nd(113)7.042%5.4
3rd(70)6.836%5.9
4th(18)2.172%4.0
All (387)41%4.8

Stanford, all games.