FanBoardHQ

Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech · 2024 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#52
Efficiency
+11.9
30th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 17
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Virginia Tech went 6-7 and was ranked 52nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 10th-ranked defense carried them, with a 56th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 35th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 73rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
0-2
Q3
5-2
Q4
1-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
70th
-2.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
47th
full season
47th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
41st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ VanderbiltSEC#41L 2734+1.60%9.3Q2
2vs MarshallSun Belt#37W 3114+10.4100%18.6Q3
3@ Old DominionSun Belt#91W 3717+10.6100%21.8Q3
4vs RutgersBig Ten#49L 2326+9.30%-0.3Q3
5@ Miami-FLACC#20L 3438-7.00%16.5Q1
6@ StanfordACC#106W 317+14.4100%25.2Q3
8vs Boston CollegeACC#50W 4221+7.8100%25.6Q3
9vs Georgia TechACC#47W 216+9.0100%16.0Q3
10@ SyracuseACC#29L 3138+3.80%6.1Q2
11vs ClemsonACC#22L 1424-1.30%1.4Q1
13@ DukeACC#39L 2831+7.60%0.8Q3
14vs VirginiaACC#76W 3717+16.4100%19.1Q4
Postseason
vs MinnesotaBig Ten#32L 1024-1.80%-5.4Q1

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Virginia Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.8+12.7+23.591922-01725261661119Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 73rd
SR 81stYPP 46thEPA 84th
RushingEff 35th
SR 39thYPP 32ndEPA 32nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 26th
SR 13thYPP 43rdEPA 33rd
Rush defenseEff 45th
SR 38thYPP 55thEPA 45th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo -1.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 59th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 80.0Q1 · Allowed: 48.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 88.0Q2 · Allowed: 71.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 64.0Q3 · Allowed: 97.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 117.0Q4 · Allowed: 79.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledVirginia TechOffenseDefense
Virginia Tech Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 56th
+1.5
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: +0.5
Field position +1.0Finishing drives +0.5= +1.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 31st · Finishing 59th

Defensive EffRanked 10th
+9.5
Field position: +0.8Finishing drives: +8.7
Field position +0.8Finishing drives +8.7= +9.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 36th · Finishing 11th

2.20 points per drive on offense, 1.83 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(192)43% / 57%48%5.9
Q2(224)51% / 49%40%6.4
Q3(178)49% / 51%38%5.3
Q4(203)38% / 62%40%6.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(145)10.348%8.1
2nd(110)9.037%6.1
3rd(94)8.727%5.0
4th(12)6.925%1.9
All (361)39%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)9.841%5.4
2nd(143)7.643%5.4
3rd(79)5.151%6.1
4th(8)2.088%4.9
All (436)44%5.5

Virginia Tech, all games.