FanBoardHQ

FIU

Florida International University · 2023 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#123
Efficiency
-22.9
132nd FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
9th
of 9
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FIU went 4-8 and was ranked 123rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 123rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 133rd-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 130th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 101st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-2
Q4
4-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
117th
-6.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
128th
full season
128th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
104th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Louisiana TechConference USA#126L 1722-7.70%-20.4Q4
1vs MaineCoastal AthleticW 1412+10.8100%-31.7Q4
2vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#99W 4639-9.3100%-11.6Q4
3@ UConnFBS Independents#122W 2417-9.2100%-7.4Q4
4vs LibertyConference USA#23L 638-29.10%-23.5Q2
6@ New Mexico StateConference USA#65L 1734-21.30%-16.9Q3
7vs UTEPConference USA#121L 1427-5.20%-31.0Q4
8@ Sam HoustonConference USA#118W 3327-12.2100%-9.7Q4
9vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#62L 1641-17.10%-29.9Q4
11@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#105L 640-17.00%-39.1Q4
12@ ArkansasSEC#85L 2044-25.50%-20.6Q3
13vs Western KentuckyConference USA#69L 2841-16.50%-33.3Q4

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on FIU, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-36.0-19.6-3.1-32-12-7-24-17-31-10-30-39-21-33Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 130th
SR 135thYPP 130thEPA 129th
RushingEff 101st
SR 105thYPP 101stEPA 91st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 119th
SR 108thYPP 116thEPA 122nd
Rush defenseEff 73rd
SR 43rdYPP 96thEPA 69th
Dropback rate 57%Tempo -8.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 96th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 33%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 32%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 59.0Q1 · Allowed: 110.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 67.0Q2 · Allowed: 104.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 66.0Q3 · Allowed: 55.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 17.0Q4 · Allowed: 88.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledFIUOffenseDefense
FIU Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 133rd
-14.5
Field position: -2.7Finishing drives: -11.9
Field position -2.7Finishing drives -11.9= -14.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 129th · Finishing 126th

Defensive EffRanked 123rd
-8.4
Field position: -3.1Finishing drives: -5.3
Field position -3.1Finishing drives -5.3= -8.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 133rd · Finishing 108th

1.40 points per drive on offense, 2.32 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(188)50% / 50%42%6.1
Q2(192)57% / 43%36%5.2
Q3(158)56% / 44%39%5.6
Q4(179)65% / 35%27%3.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(156)10.142%6.5
2nd(134)9.230%4.2
3rd(104)9.325%6.4
4th(15)6.540%5.1
All (409)34%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(141)9.938%4.6
2nd(94)7.238%4.2
3rd(59)6.439%5.3
4th(14)4.650%3.6
All (308)39%4.5

FIU, all games.