New Mexico State
New Mexico State University · 2023 · Conference USA
New Mexico State went 10-5 and was ranked 65th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 72nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 85th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with an 11th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 75th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | vs Massachusetts | FBS Independents | #127 | L 30–41 | +18.1 | 0% | -38.1 | Q4 |
| 1 | vs Western Illinois | MVFC | — | W 58–21 | +39.5 | 100% | -10.6 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Liberty | Conference USA | #23 | L 17–33 | -16.1 | 0% | -6.2 | Q2 |
| 3 | @ New Mexico | Mountain West | #115 | W 27–17 | +7.2 | 100% | -0.1 | Q4 |
| 4 | @ Hawai'i | Mountain West | #109 | L 17–20 | +8.5 | 0% | -13.7 | Q4 |
| 6 | vs FIU | Conference USA | #123 | W 34–17 | +21.3 | 100% | -10.4 | Q4 |
| 7 | vs Sam Houston | Conference USA | #118 | W 27–13 | +11.8 | 100% | 8.5 | Q4 |
| 8 | @ UTEP | Conference USA | #121 | W 28–7 | +7.8 | 100% | 13.1 | Q4 |
| 9 | @ Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | #126 | W 27–24 | +10.9 | 100% | -10.6 | Q4 |
| 10 | vs Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | #105 | W 13–7 | +7.1 | 100% | -5.6 | Q4 |
| 11 | @ Western Kentucky | Conference USA | #69 | W 38–29 | -3.5 | 100% | 13.5 | Q3 |
| 12 | @ Auburn | SEC | #59 | W 31–10 | -12.8 | 100% | 32.2 | Q2 |
| 13 | vs Jacksonville State | Conference USA | #62 | W 20–17 | +1.4 | 100% | -3.2 | Q4 |
| 14 | @ Liberty | Conference USA | #23 | L 35–49 | -16.1 | 0% | -5.5 | Q2 |
| Postseason | ||||||||
| — | vs Fresno State | Mountain West | #57 | L 10–37 | -2.9 | 0% | -30.5 | Q3 |
15 played · 10-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on New Mexico State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 126th · Finishing 50th
Field position 73rd · Finishing 85th
2.52 points per drive on offense, 2.12 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(221) | 45% / 55% | 49% | 6.7 |
| Q2(245) | 50% / 50% | 49% | 7.1 |
| Q3(202) | 39% / 61% | 48% | 6.8 |
| Q4(233) | 47% / 53% | 47% | 6.5 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(155) | 10.2 | 49% | 9.1 |
| 2nd(144) | 8.6 | 41% | 7.2 |
| 3rd(99) | 8.2 | 36% | 5.6 |
| 4th(11) | 4.6 | 36% | 2.8 |
| All (409) | — | 43% | 7.4 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(265) | 9.9 | 52% | 5.8 |
| 2nd(147) | 6.8 | 52% | 7.3 |
| 3rd(72) | 5.3 | 51% | 5.7 |
| 4th(8) | 4.1 | 88% | 9.1 |
| All (492) | — | 53% | 6.3 |
New Mexico State, all games.