FanBoardHQ

UTEP

University of Texas at El Paso · 2023 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#121
Efficiency
-15.0
115th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 9
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UTEP went 3-9 and was ranked 121st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 115th-ranked defense carried them, with an 117th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with an 113th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 98th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-3
Q4
3-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
122nd
-6.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
94th
full season
94th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
106th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ Jacksonville StateConference USA#62L 1417-14.70%-4.1Q3
1vs Incarnate WordSouthlandW 2814+6.9100%-3.1Q4
2@ NorthwesternBig Ten#47L 738-16.90%-25.0Q3
3@ ArizonaPac-12#15L 1031-36.20%-5.0Q1
4vs UNLVMountain West#50L 2845-14.60%-15.6Q3
5vs Louisiana TechConference USA#126L 1024+5.80%-38.9Q4
7@ FIUConference USA#123W 2714+5.2100%-6.9Q4
8vs New Mexico StateConference USA#65L 728-7.80%-32.5Q4
9@ Sam HoustonConference USA#118W 3734-4.3100%-7.9Q4
10vs Western KentuckyConference USA#69L 1321-8.60%-15.8Q4
12@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#105L 3034-9.00%-8.3Q4
13vs LibertyConference USA#23L 2842-21.20%-16.6Q2

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UTEP, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-35.8-19.5-3.1-4-3-25-5-16-39-7-33-8-16-8-17Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 98th
SR 127thYPP 76thEPA 83rd
RushingEff 113th
SR 96thYPP 107thEPA 119th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 83rd
SR 47thYPP 87thEPA 102nd
Rush defenseEff 134th
SR 128thYPP 136thEPA 135th
Dropback rate 45%Tempo -4.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 96th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 38%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 56.0Q1 · Allowed: 87.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 64.0Q2 · Allowed: 83.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 27.0Q3 · Allowed: 93.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 86.0Q4 · Allowed: 72.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUTEPOffenseDefense
UTEP Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 117th
-8.3
Field position: -2.2Finishing drives: -6.1
Field position -2.2Finishing drives -6.1= -8.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 124th · Finishing 108th

Defensive EffRanked 115th
-6.9
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: -6.5
Field position -0.4Finishing drives -6.5= -6.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 82nd · Finishing 115th

1.74 points per drive on offense, 2.45 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(181)42% / 58%43%6.4
Q2(191)45% / 55%41%5.5
Q3(161)49% / 51%38%4.8
Q4(235)53% / 47%37%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(116)10.446%9.1
2nd(125)9.030%6.2
3rd(103)8.729%5.6
4th(21)5.743%5.0
All (365)36%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(210)9.841%4.5
2nd(127)6.745%4.7
3rd(54)5.043%5.7
4th(12)1.358%2.7
All (403)43%4.7

UTEP, all games.

UTEP Football 2023 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ