FanBoardHQ

Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State University · 2024 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#132
Efficiency
-23.9
129th FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 10
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Kennesaw State went 2-10 and was ranked 132nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 111th-ranked defense carried them, with a 134th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 138th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with a 128th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-2
Q4
2-8

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
131st
-8.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
133rd
full season
133rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
120th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#81L 1628-21.90%-14.4Q3
2vs LouisianaSun Belt#51L 1034-21.40%-34.0Q4
3@ San José StateMountain West#88L 1031-19.70%-25.7Q4
5vs UT MartinBig South-OVCL 1324-10.30%-25.5Q4
6vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#69L 2463-17.90%-37.3Q4
8@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#130L 514+2.40%-34.6Q4
9vs LibertyConference USA#85W 2724-10.2100%-9.1Q4
10@ Western KentuckyConference USA#80L 1431-20.00%-21.2Q3
11@ UTEPConference USA#126L 3543-4.50%-21.8Q4
12vs Sam HoustonConference USA#56L 1723-13.80%-11.1Q4
13vs FIUConference USA#115W 2726-9.5100%-12.2Q4
14@ Louisiana TechConference USA#111L 033-12.90%-40.6Q4

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Kennesaw State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-37.3-20.3-3.2-14-34-26-26-37-35-9-21-22-11-12-41Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 128th
SR 133rdYPP 119thEPA 124th
RushingEff 138th
SR 138thYPP 138thEPA 138th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 118th
SR 134thYPP 112thEPA 106th
Rush defenseEff 132nd
SR 130thYPP 123rdEPA 134th
Dropback rate 40%Tempo -8.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 91st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 33%1st · Defense allowed: 52%1st2nd · Offense: 27%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 38%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 33.0Q1 · Allowed: 70.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 37.0Q2 · Allowed: 119.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 38.0Q3 · Allowed: 79.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 67.0Q4 · Allowed: 84.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledKennesaw StateOffenseDefense
Kennesaw State Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 134th
-16.3
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: -14.8
Field position -1.5Finishing drives -14.8= -16.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 113th · Finishing 134th

Defensive EffRanked 111th
-7.1
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: -6.4
Field position -0.7Finishing drives -6.4= -7.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 97th · Finishing 110th

1.22 points per drive on offense, 2.26 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(141)32% / 68%29%4.8
Q2(211)44% / 56%32%3.9
Q3(160)33% / 68%39%4.6
Q4(211)55% / 45%31%4.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(111)10.138%4.9
2nd(87)9.230%5.3
3rd(100)8.631%5.4
4th(9)7.922%1.9
All (307)33%5.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(178)9.930%4.5
2nd(151)8.125%2.9
3rd(78)5.847%3.6
4th(9)3.056%2.6
All (416)32%3.7

Kennesaw State, all games.