FanBoardHQ

Maryland

University of Maryland · 2024 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#89
Efficiency
+0.3
64th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
1-8
Conf. finish
17th
of 18
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Maryland went 4-8 and was ranked 89th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 61st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 71st-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 60% of offensive plays with a 64th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 40% of plays with an 85th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-4
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-1
Q4
2-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
94th
-3.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
24th
full season
24th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
24th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UConnFBS Independents#57W 507+4.2100%32.3Q4
2vs Michigan StateBig Ten#73L 2427+5.90%-8.5Q4
3@ VirginiaACC#76W 2713-0.7100%14.6Q3
4vs VillanovaCoastal AthleticW 3820+21.2100%9.3Q4
5@ IndianaBig Ten#9L 2842-21.20%7.2Q1
7vs NorthwesternBig Ten#94L 1037+7.20%-33.8Q4
8vs USCBig Ten#34W 2928-11.1100%13.1Q1
9@ MinnesotaBig Ten#32L 2348-16.10%-11.9Q1
11@ OregonBig Ten#3L 1839-24.20%3.0Q1
12vs RutgersBig Ten#49L 1731-2.30%-13.5Q3
13vs IowaBig Ten#36L 1329-10.00%-4.8Q2
14@ Penn StateBig Ten#6L 744-24.90%-3.5Q1

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Maryland, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-28.5-0.7+27.032-91597-3413-123-14-5-3Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 64th
SR 60thYPP 80thEPA 58th
RushingEff 85th
SR 86thYPP 92ndEPA 83rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 74th
SR 60thYPP 69thEPA 81st
Rush defenseEff 17th
SR 24thYPP 12thEPA 16th
Dropback rate 60%Tempo +5.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 51st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 58.0Q1 · Allowed: 51.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 68.0Q2 · Allowed: 130.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 69.0Q3 · Allowed: 58.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 90.0Q4 · Allowed: 105.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarylandOffenseDefense
Maryland Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 61st
+0.6
Field position: -1.0Finishing drives: +1.5
Field position -1.0Finishing drives +1.5= +0.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 97th · Finishing 53rd

Defensive EffRanked 71st
-0.3
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: +0.8
Field position -1.1Finishing drives +0.8= -0.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 110th · Finishing 65th

1.92 points per drive on offense, 2.28 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(186)57% / 43%39%4.5
Q2(234)62% / 38%39%5.2
Q3(193)54% / 46%45%6.7
Q4(238)66% / 34%41%5.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(208)10.346%6.7
2nd(156)8.342%6.3
3rd(131)8.036%5.9
4th(18)6.128%1.8
All (513)42%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(166)9.834%4.7
2nd(112)7.239%4.5
3rd(45)3.353%4.3
4th(15)2.560%2.5
All (338)40%4.5

Maryland, all games.