FanBoardHQ

Iowa

University of Iowa · 2024 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#36
Efficiency
+13.1
24th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 18
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Iowa went 8-5 and was ranked 36th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 7th-ranked defense carried them, with a 50th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 61% of offensive plays with a 62nd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 39% of plays with a 72nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-1
Q2
1-2
Q3
3-2
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
39th
-0.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
53rd
full season
53rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
57th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Illinois StateMVFCW 400+30.1100%11.9Q4
2vs Iowa StateBig 12#13L 1920+3.00%9.7Q2
3vs TroySun Belt#113W 3821+27.2100%3.7Q4
4@ MinnesotaBig Ten#32W 3114-3.3100%33.1Q1
6@ Ohio StateBig Ten#1L 735-19.60%4.0Q1
7vs WashingtonBig Ten#53W 4016+11.0100%29.1Q3
8@ Michigan StateBig Ten#73L 2032+13.20%-11.9Q3
9vs NorthwesternBig Ten#94W 4014+20.0100%25.6Q4
10vs WisconsinBig Ten#60W 4210+10.7100%32.7Q3
11@ UCLABig Ten#58L 1720+8.80%1.0Q3
13@ MarylandBig Ten#89W 2913+10.0100%18.2Q3
14vs NebraskaBig Ten#43W 1310+6.2100%9.3Q2
Postseason
vs MissouriSEC#17L 2427+1.80%4.0Q2

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Iowa, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-8.3+10.6+29.51210433429-1226331189Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 72nd
SR 84thYPP 84thEPA 62nd
RushingEff 62nd
SR 74thYPP 34thEPA 82nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 28th
SR 43rdYPP 32ndEPA 26th
Rush defenseEff 51st
SR 67thYPP 47thEPA 47th
Dropback rate 39%Tempo -2.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 55th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 47.0Q1 · Allowed: 26.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 70.0Q2 · Allowed: 68.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 109.0Q3 · Allowed: 63.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 114.0Q4 · Allowed: 56.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledIowaOffenseDefense
Iowa Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 50th
+2.2
Field position: +1.9Finishing drives: +0.3
Field position +1.9Finishing drives +0.3= +2.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 15th · Finishing 63rd

Defensive EffRanked 7th
+10.3
Field position: +2.2Finishing drives: +8.2
Field position +2.2Finishing drives +8.2= +10.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 5th · Finishing 15th

2.19 points per drive on offense, 1.39 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(176)44% / 56%41%5.2
Q2(206)41% / 59%41%4.9
Q3(182)34% / 66%49%6.5
Q4(176)26% / 74%40%6.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(73)9.852%6.2
2nd(97)8.537%6.2
3rd(99)6.833%4.8
4th(0)
All (269)40%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(253)9.742%6.3
2nd(147)6.345%5.4
3rd(64)3.955%4.6
4th(7)1.943%0.9
All (471)44%5.7

Iowa, all games.