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Texas A&M

Texas A&M University · 2022 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#68
Efficiency
+5.2
50th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-12th
of 14
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Texas A&M went 5-7 and was ranked 68th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 17th-ranked defense carried them, with an 80th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 57th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 46th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-2
Q2
1-4
Q3
0-0
Q4
3-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
76th
-2.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
36th
full season
36th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
11th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~3.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Sam HoustonWestern AthleticW 310+29.8100%3.1Q4
2vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#81L 1417+10.50%-7.6Q4
3vs Miami-FLACC#86W 179+12.6100%0.3Q4
4vs ArkansasSEC#38W 2321-3.5100%12.0Q2
5@ Mississippi StateSEC#16L 2442-11.90%3.7Q1
6@ AlabamaSEC#3L 2024-23.50%25.3Q1
8@ South CarolinaSEC#29L 2430-2.80%3.4Q2
9vs Ole MissSEC#23L 2831-3.70%4.9Q2
10vs FloridaSEC#46L 2441-0.90%-9.8Q2
11@ AuburnSEC#56L 1013-3.90%6.3Q2
12vs MassachusettsFBS Independents#131W 203+34.7100%-13.6Q4
13vs LSUSEC#9W 3823-9.6100%32.4Q1

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Texas A&M, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-10.0+9.4+28.73-801242535-106-1432Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 57th
SR 77thYPP 67thEPA 44th
RushingEff 46th
SR 36thYPP 21stEPA 62nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 12th
SR 10thYPP 7thEPA 18th
Rush defenseEff 45th
SR 66thYPP 45thEPA 42nd
Dropback rate 55%Tempo +0.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 50th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 58.0Q1 · Allowed: 58.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 75.0Q2 · Allowed: 57.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 47.0Q3 · Allowed: 62.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 72.0Q4 · Allowed: 58.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTexas A&MOffenseDefense
Texas A&M Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 80th
-2.5
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: -2.1
Field position -0.4Finishing drives -2.1= -2.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 75th · Finishing 78th

Defensive EffRanked 17th
+7.9
Field position: +1.4Finishing drives: +6.5
Field position +1.4Finishing drives +6.5= +7.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 20th · Finishing 20th

1.76 points per drive on offense, 1.63 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(172)49% / 51%44%6.2
Q2(196)55% / 45%44%6.2
Q3(171)50% / 50%40%5.5
Q4(211)63% / 37%38%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(157)10.342%6.6
2nd(135)9.639%6.4
3rd(109)7.730%5.4
4th(10)5.230%2.3
All (411)38%6.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(189)9.742%5.5
2nd(107)6.450%4.9
3rd(42)5.652%6.7
4th(1)4.0100%4.0
All (339)46%5.5

Texas A&M, all games.

Texas A&M Football 2022 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ