FanBoardHQ

Clemson

Clemson University · 2022 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#15
Efficiency
+14.9
16th FBS
Record
11-3
Conf. record
9-0
Conf. finish
1st
of 14
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Clemson went 11-3 and was ranked 15th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 10th-ranked defense carried them, with a 39th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 38th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 53rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-2
Q2
2-0
Q3
3-1
Q4
5-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
15th
+2.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
48th
full season
48th
CFP committee
#7
FanBoardHQ has them 8 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
73rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Georgia TechACC#76W 4110+19.9100%18.1Q4
2vs FurmanSouthernW 3512+23.2100%23.4Q4
3vs Louisiana TechConference USA#119W 4820+33.0100%11.2Q4
4@ Wake ForestACC#31W 5145+2.6100%11.4Q2
5vs NC StateACC#36W 3020+11.5100%16.6Q3
6@ Boston CollegeACC#113W 313+22.6100%15.2Q4
7@ Florida StateACC#18W 3428-4.8100%25.9Q1
8vs SyracuseACC#52W 2721+11.5100%8.5Q3
10@ Notre DameFBS Independents#21L 1435+0.50%-9.8Q1
11vs LouisvilleACC#27W 3116+6.5100%22.1Q2
12vs Miami-FLACC#86W 4010+22.4100%22.4Q4
13vs South CarolinaSEC#29L 3031+12.40%2.8Q3
14vs North CarolinaACC#37W 3910+10.7100%32.9Q3
Postseason
vs TennesseeSEC#4L 1431-8.30%7.5Q1

14 played · 11-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Clemson, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-6.4+11.5+29.4182311111715269-102222333Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 53rd
SR 51stYPP 54thEPA 50th
RushingEff 38th
SR 25thYPP 54thEPA 38th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 11th
SR 16thYPP 12thEPA 11th
Rush defenseEff 24th
SR 31stYPP 20thEPA 24th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo +3.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 55th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 36%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 103.0Q1 · Allowed: 41.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 111.0Q2 · Allowed: 85.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 93.0Q3 · Allowed: 61.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 138.0Q4 · Allowed: 86.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledClemsonOffenseDefense
Clemson Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 39th
+4.1
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: +4.4
Field position -0.3Finishing drives +4.4= +4.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 71st · Finishing 36th

Defensive EffRanked 10th
+9.9
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: +9.3
Field position +0.5Finishing drives +9.3= +9.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 53rd · Finishing 8th

2.55 points per drive on offense, 1.48 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(237)49% / 51%46%6.5
Q2(295)53% / 47%48%5.3
Q3(241)50% / 50%44%6.1
Q4(241)46% / 54%44%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(215)10.144%6.5
2nd(148)7.842%6.1
3rd(137)7.738%6.2
4th(3)5.333%2.0
All (503)42%6.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(241)9.547%5.9
2nd(186)7.145%4.7
3rd(74)3.966%5.6
4th(10)1.660%2.5
All (511)50%5.4

Clemson, all games.