FanBoardHQ

Miami-FL

University of Miami · 2024 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#20
Efficiency
+16.2
14th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
3rd
of 17
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Miami-FL went 10-3 and was ranked 20th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 1st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 83rd-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 5th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 1st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-1
Q2
2-2
Q3
0-0
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
21st
+0.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
61st
full season
61st
CFP committee
#13
FanBoardHQ has them 7 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
49th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ FloridaSEC#25W 4117+1.0100%37.1Q1
2vs Florida A&MSWACW 569+50.0100%5.9Q4
3vs Ball StateMid-American#122W 620+37.5100%24.8Q4
4@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#82W 5015+20.5100%24.7Q4
5vs Virginia TechACC#52W 3834+7.0100%11.7Q2
6@ CaliforniaACC#75W 3938+11.8100%1.6Q2
8@ LouisvilleACC#21W 5245-2.8100%30.5Q1
9vs Florida StateACC#117W 3614+26.1100%17.5Q4
10vs DukeACC#39W 5331+17.4100%18.3Q4
11@ Georgia TechACC#47L 2328+7.80%2.2Q2
13vs Wake ForestACC#102W 4214+25.5100%17.9Q4
14@ SyracuseACC#29L 3842+8.10%6.1Q2
Postseason
vs Iowa StateBig 12#13L 4142+3.30%9.9Q1

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Miami-FL, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+3.0+18.6+34.137625251223117182186Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 5th
SR 9thYPP 5thEPA 6th
RushingEff 1st
SR 1stYPP 21stEPA 1st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 43rd
SR 34thYPP 40thEPA 46th
Rush defenseEff 55th
SR 26thYPP 81stEPA 59th
Dropback rate 58%Tempo +0.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 56th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 53%1st · Defense allowed: 34%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 59%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 145.0Q1 · Allowed: 79.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 108.0Q2 · Allowed: 106.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 128.0Q3 · Allowed: 55.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 173.0Q4 · Allowed: 62.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMiami-FLOffenseDefense
Miami-FL Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 1st
+17.3
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: +17.9
Field position -0.5Finishing drives +17.9= +17.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 79th · Finishing 1st

Defensive EffRanked 83rd
-2.1
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -2.4
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -2.4= -2.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 52nd · Finishing 85th

3.81 points per drive on offense, 2.17 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(225)57% / 43%56%8.4
Q2(227)59% / 41%48%6.5
Q3(221)53% / 47%57%7.4
Q4(244)53% / 47%51%8.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(226)9.955%9.0
2nd(167)8.543%8.6
3rd(106)7.948%8.5
4th(12)5.058%4.0
All (511)50%8.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(220)9.650%6.5
2nd(122)5.856%6.0
3rd(57)4.475%7.4
4th(7)1.7100%6.6
All (406)56%6.5

Miami-FL, all games.