FanBoardHQ

Missouri

University of Missouri · 2022 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#60
Efficiency
+5.7
46th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 14
Missouri Fanboard →

Missouri went 6-7 and was ranked 60th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 16th-ranked defense carried them, with a 77th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 90th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 49th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
2-3
Q3
0-1
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
63rd
-1.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
28th
full season
28th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
17th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Louisiana TechConference USA#119W 5224+23.8100%3.5Q4
2@ Kansas StateBig 12#7L 1240-15.70%-8.1Q1
3vs Abilene ChristianWestern AthleticW 3417+25.6100%-3.1Q4
4@ AuburnSEC#56L 1417-3.40%7.6Q2
5vs GeorgiaSEC#1L 2226-21.60%24.8Q1
6@ FloridaSEC#46L 1724-5.90%2.2Q2
8vs VanderbiltSEC#73W 1714+12.6100%-4.1Q4
9@ South CarolinaSEC#29W 2310-2.3100%21.8Q2
10vs KentuckySEC#43L 1721+2.20%-0.2Q3
11@ TennesseeSEC#4L 2466-20.30%-3.6Q1
12vs New Mexico StateFBS Independents#93W 4514+23.8100%22.2Q4
13vs ArkansasSEC#38W 2927-0.3100%8.4Q2
Postseason
vs Wake ForestACC#31L 1727-3.80%0.4Q2

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Missouri, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-5.4+8.4+22.24-8-38252-422-0-4228Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 49th
SR 65thYPP 56thEPA 38th
RushingEff 90th
SR 91stYPP 88thEPA 88th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 21st
SR 21stYPP 16thEPA 21st
Rush defenseEff 25th
SR 27thYPP 17thEPA 29th
Dropback rate 48%Tempo -1.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 55th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 54.0Q1 · Allowed: 58.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 118.0Q2 · Allowed: 69.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 75.0Q3 · Allowed: 67.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 61.0Q4 · Allowed: 107.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMissouriOffenseDefense
Missouri Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 77th
-2.2
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: -2.1
Field position -0.1Finishing drives -2.1= -2.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 64th · Finishing 77th

Defensive EffRanked 16th
+8.1
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: +8.0
Field position +0.2Finishing drives +8.0= +8.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 67th · Finishing 12th

1.85 points per drive on offense, 1.90 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(195)56% / 44%42%5.8
Q2(246)46% / 54%48%6.3
Q3(212)48% / 52%37%5.9
Q4(217)42% / 58%37%4.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(139)10.343%6.5
2nd(146)9.540%6.4
3rd(121)8.540%6.1
4th(9)6.744%9.3
All (415)41%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(233)10.039%4.5
2nd(148)7.441%5.0
3rd(65)5.046%4.8
4th(9)2.256%5.6
All (455)41%4.8

Missouri, all games.