FanBoardHQ

Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt University · 2022 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#73
Efficiency
-4.1
79th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-12th
of 14
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Vanderbilt went 5-7 and was ranked 73rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 70th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 80th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 67th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 95th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
2-3
Q3
0-1
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
71st
-1.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
18th
full season
18th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
7th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~3.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Hawai'iMountain West#125W 6310+17.0100%16.6Q4
1vs ElonCAAW 4231+8.0100%0.1Q4
2vs Wake ForestACC#31L 2545-10.90%-18.6Q2
3@ Northern IllinoisMid-American#122W 3828+11.9100%-3.6Q4
4@ AlabamaSEC#3L 355-32.90%-9.0Q1
6vs Ole MissSEC#23L 2852-13.00%-13.6Q2
7@ GeorgiaSEC#1L 055-36.90%-15.6Q1
8@ MissouriSEC#60L 1417-12.60%5.7Q2
10vs South CarolinaSEC#29L 2738-6.70%-8.3Q3
11@ KentuckySEC#43W 2421-13.2100%11.1Q2
12vs FloridaSEC#46W 3124-10.3100%4.9Q2
13vs TennesseeSEC#4L 056-24.70%-19.5Q1

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Vanderbilt, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-17.0-4.2+8.70-19-4-9-14-166-8115-19Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 95th
SR 71stYPP 100thEPA 97th
RushingEff 67th
SR 79thYPP 63rdEPA 66th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 116th
SR 83rdYPP 122ndEPA 120th
Rush defenseEff 54th
SR 39thYPP 77thEPA 48th
Dropback rate 43%Tempo -3.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 63rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 49%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 58.0Q1 · Allowed: 106.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 59.0Q2 · Allowed: 99.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 91.0Q3 · Allowed: 110.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 58.0Q4 · Allowed: 108.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledVanderbiltOffenseDefense
Vanderbilt Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 70th
-1.2
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -1.5
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -1.5= -1.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 48th · Finishing 73rd

Defensive EffRanked 80th
-1.9
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: -1.4
Field position -0.5Finishing drives -1.4= -1.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 83rd · Finishing 80th

1.90 points per drive on offense, 2.86 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(186)45% / 55%46%6.2
Q2(204)47% / 53%41%4.6
Q3(176)44% / 56%39%6.2
Q4(189)46% / 54%35%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(119)9.950%6.8
2nd(104)7.538%5.9
3rd(100)8.030%4.9
4th(20)6.035%7.2
All (343)40%6.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(200)9.940%5.6
2nd(145)7.837%4.7
3rd(60)5.853%4.4
4th(7)2.357%3.3
All (412)41%5.0

Vanderbilt, all games.