FanBoardHQ

South Carolina

University of South Carolina · 2022 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#29
Efficiency
+5.3
49th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 14
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South Carolina went 8-5 and was ranked 29th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 34th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 71st-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 40th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 52nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-2
Q2
1-2
Q3
2-1
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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11
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13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
23rd
+0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
30th
full season
30th
CFP committee
#19
FanBoardHQ has them 10 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
19th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Georgia StateSun Belt#105W 3514+14.2100%11.1Q4
2@ ArkansasSEC#38L 3044-6.20%-5.1Q2
3vs GeorgiaSEC#1L 748-22.00%-14.2Q1
4vs CharlotteConference USA#123W 5620+29.1100%9.7Q4
5vs South Carolina StateMEACW 5010+41.6100%-3.9Q4
6@ KentuckySEC#43W 2414-3.8100%18.8Q2
8vs Texas A&MSEC#68W 3024+2.8100%7.1Q3
9vs MissouriSEC#60L 1023+2.30%-10.8Q3
10@ VanderbiltSEC#73W 3827+6.7100%9.4Q3
11@ FloridaSEC#46L 638-6.40%-19.5Q2
12vs TennesseeSEC#4W 6338-15.2100%40.0Q1
13@ ClemsonACC#15W 3130-12.4100%17.4Q1
Postseason
vs Notre DameFBS Independents#21L 3845-6.40%6.3Q1

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on South Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-14.7+10.3+35.311-5-1410-4197-119-194017Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 40th
SR 56thYPP 40thEPA 34th
RushingEff 52nd
SR 62ndYPP 49thEPA 47th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 23rd
SR 52ndYPP 19thEPA 17th
Rush defenseEff 115th
SR 127thYPP 110thEPA 111th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo -4.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 46th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 82.0Q1 · Allowed: 87.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 103.0Q2 · Allowed: 109.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 104.0Q3 · Allowed: 87.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 87.0Q4 · Allowed: 82.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSouth CarolinaOffenseDefense
South Carolina Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 34th
+5.2
Field position: +1.5Finishing drives: +3.7
Field position +1.5Finishing drives +3.7= +5.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 17th · Finishing 39th

Defensive EffRanked 71st
-0.1
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: -1.2
Field position +1.1Finishing drives -1.2= -0.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 31st · Finishing 77th

2.34 points per drive on offense, 2.23 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(198)56% / 44%41%6.5
Q2(210)57% / 43%42%6.2
Q3(198)57% / 43%46%6.7
Q4(199)48% / 52%39%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(177)10.142%6.2
2nd(142)9.341%8.4
3rd(107)8.836%7.4
4th(11)6.355%16.5
All (437)41%7.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(183)9.541%5.1
2nd(127)6.646%4.8
3rd(49)5.047%5.6
4th(9)1.767%3.1
All (368)44%5.0

South Carolina, all games.