FanBoardHQ

Georgia

University of Georgia · 2022 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#1
Efficiency
+30.0
1st FBS
Record
15-0
Conf. record
9-0
Conf. finish
1st
of 14
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Georgia went 15-0 and was ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 2nd-ranked defense carried them, with a 5th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 6th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 2nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
6-0
Q2
5-0
Q3
0-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
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Expected: 15.0 wins
Strength of Record
1st
+6.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
10th
full season
10th
Conf. sched. difficulty
38th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs OregonPac-12#11W 493+13.6100%43.2Q1
2vs SamfordSouthernW 330+42.0100%25.8Q4
3@ South CarolinaSEC#29W 487+22.0100%37.8Q2
4vs Kent StateMid-American#94W 3922+41.7100%6.1Q4
5@ MissouriSEC#60W 2622+21.6100%10.9Q2
6vs AuburnSEC#56W 4210+26.4100%27.1Q2
7vs VanderbiltSEC#73W 550+36.9100%33.1Q4
9vs FloridaSEC#46W 4220+21.1100%31.5Q2
10vs TennesseeSEC#4W 2713+9.5100%34.8Q1
11@ Mississippi StateSEC#16W 4519+13.0100%38.2Q1
12@ KentuckySEC#43W 166+21.0100%20.0Q2
13vs Georgia TechACC#76W 3714+37.7100%18.9Q4
14vs LSUSEC#9W 5030+12.5100%36.3Q1
Postseason
vs Ohio StateBig Ten#5W 4241+4.2100%26.3Q1
vs TCUBig 12#2W 657+11.7100%45.7Q1

15 played · 15-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Georgia, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+3.5+21.6+39.84326386112733313538201936Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 2nd
SR 1stYPP 4thEPA 2nd
RushingEff 6th
SR 5thYPP 13thEPA 12th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 9th
SR 4thYPP 24thEPA 9th
Rush defenseEff 1st
SR 2ndYPP 1stEPA 1st
Dropback rate 50%Tempo -6.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 46th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 55%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 53%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 54%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 29%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 130.0Q1 · Allowed: 37.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 202.0Q2 · Allowed: 62.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 125.0Q3 · Allowed: 57.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 149.0Q4 · Allowed: 55.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledGeorgiaOffenseDefense
Georgia Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 5th
+16.5
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: +15.8
Field position +0.7Finishing drives +15.8= +16.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 36th · Finishing 6th

Defensive EffRanked 2nd
+15.6
Field position: +2.8Finishing drives: +12.8
Field position +2.8Finishing drives +12.8= +15.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 3rd · Finishing 2nd

3.49 points per drive on offense, 1.20 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(242)56% / 44%55%7.6
Q2(302)58% / 42%57%7.0
Q3(264)43% / 57%53%7.6
Q4(229)33% / 67%49%6.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(212)10.159%10.5
2nd(166)7.554%7.8
3rd(116)6.851%7.2
4th(6)5.383%10.2
All (500)56%8.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(291)9.451%5.4
2nd(172)6.052%6.7
3rd(64)3.853%5.3
4th(10)1.480%3.4
All (537)52%5.8

Georgia, all games.