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Rutgers

Rutgers University–New Brunswick · 2025 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#72
Efficiency
-0.5
72nd FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
2-7
Conf. finish
T-14th
of 18
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Rutgers went 5-7 and was ranked 72nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 26th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 119th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 72nd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 20th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-6
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-1
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
71st
-2.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
19th
full season
19th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
19th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs OhioMid-American#60W 3431+5.8100%-7.1Q4
2vs Miami-OHMid-American#88W 4517+8.5100%17.7Q4
3vs Norfolk StateMEACW 6010+46.7100%4.6Q4
4vs IowaBig Ten#16L 2838-14.30%4.1Q1
5@ MinnesotaBig Ten#48L 2831-2.50%-2.4Q3
7@ WashingtonBig Ten#20L 1938-21.30%1.9Q1
8vs OregonBig Ten#2L 1056-23.40%-23.5Q1
9@ PurdueBig Ten#111W 2724-0.7100%2.0Q3
10@ IllinoisBig Ten#18L 1335-15.40%-20.4Q1
11vs MarylandBig Ten#94W 3520+2.9100%12.8Q4
13@ Ohio StateBig Ten#4L 942-32.00%-1.5Q1
14vs Penn StateBig Ten#39L 3640-13.10%5.4Q1

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Rutgers, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-20.2-2.9+14.4-71854-22-232-2013-25Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 20th
SR 20thYPP 19thEPA 20th
RushingEff 72nd
SR 50thYPP 102ndEPA 73rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 120th
SR 101stYPP 125thEPA 123rd
Rush defenseEff 124th
SR 94thYPP 138thEPA 120th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo +5.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 50th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 49%1st2nd · Offense: 47%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 62.0Q1 · Allowed: 80.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 115.0Q2 · Allowed: 116.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 56.0Q3 · Allowed: 118.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 93.0Q4 · Allowed: 55.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledRutgersOffenseDefense
Rutgers Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 26th
+6.8
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: +6.8
Field position +0.0Finishing drives +6.8= +6.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 60th · Finishing 24th

Defensive EffRanked 119th
-8.1
Field position: +2.2Finishing drives: -10.2
Field position +2.2Finishing drives -10.2= -8.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 12th · Finishing 130th

2.48 points per drive on offense, 2.93 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(222)55% / 45%49%6.3
Q2(247)48% / 52%46%5.5
Q3(161)52% / 48%41%6.3
Q4(226)44% / 56%48%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(174)9.951%7.6
2nd(144)8.849%8.1
3rd(86)7.935%5.4
4th(21)5.162%7.7
All (425)47%7.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(205)9.341%4.5
2nd(135)6.046%4.7
3rd(76)5.251%4.9
4th(15)1.667%2.3
All (431)45%4.6

Rutgers, all games.

Rutgers Football 2025 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ