FanBoardHQ

Washington

University of Washington · 2025 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#20
Efficiency
+18.1
13th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
5-4
Conf. finish
T-7th
of 18
Washington Fanboard →

Washington went 9-4 and was ranked 20th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 10th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 35th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 12th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 23rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
2-0
Q3
3-1
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
27th
+0.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
48th
full season
48th
CFP committee
Unranked
FanBoardHQ has them 6 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
43rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Colorado StateMountain West#130W 3821+37.1100%0.6Q4
2vs UC DavisBig SkyW 7010+29.6100%30.7Q4
4@ Washington StatePac-12#56W 5924+10.7100%35.9Q2
5vs Ohio StateBig Ten#4L 624-7.90%0.5Q1
6@ MarylandBig Ten#94W 2420+16.0100%7.6Q3
7vs RutgersBig Ten#72W 3819+21.3100%15.7Q4
8@ MichiganBig Ten#19L 724+2.00%-2.3Q1
9vs IllinoisBig Ten#18W 4225+8.6100%30.7Q2
11@ WisconsinBig Ten#74L 1013+14.20%0.5Q3
12vs PurdueBig Ten#111W 4913+23.4100%29.8Q4
13@ UCLABig Ten#97W 4814+19.6100%31.2Q3
14vs OregonBig Ten#2L 1426-4.80%9.9Q1
Postseason
vs Boise StateMountain West#46W 3810+14.5100%32.3Q3

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Washington, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+0.7+16.8+32.9131360816-2310303110Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 23rd
SR 11thYPP 26thEPA 33rd
RushingEff 12th
SR 17thYPP 19thEPA 8th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 19th
SR 29thYPP 12thEPA 23rd
Rush defenseEff 17th
SR 20thYPP 19thEPA 16th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo +0.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 57th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 36%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 41%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 51%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 62.0Q1 · Allowed: 46.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 127.0Q2 · Allowed: 71.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 104.0Q3 · Allowed: 75.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 122.0Q4 · Allowed: 51.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWashingtonOffenseDefense
Washington Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 10th
+11.9
Field position: +2.5Finishing drives: +9.5
Field position +2.5Finishing drives +9.5= +11.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 10th · Finishing 13th

Defensive EffRanked 35th
+4.9
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: +5.1
Field position -0.1Finishing drives +5.1= +4.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 72nd · Finishing 31st

2.96 points per drive on offense, 1.77 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(194)51% / 49%44%6.2
Q2(216)53% / 47%52%7.0
Q3(193)47% / 53%59%8.1
Q4(207)42% / 58%44%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(178)10.257%8.5
2nd(119)7.950%7.6
3rd(81)8.040%6.8
4th(11)6.527%3.7
All (389)50%7.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(203)9.644%5.7
2nd(143)6.946%5.4
3rd(67)5.664%5.6
4th(8)1.188%6.0
All (421)49%5.6

Washington, all games.