FanBoardHQ

Maryland

University of Maryland · 2025 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#94
Efficiency
-0.7
73rd FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
1-8
Conf. finish
T-16th
of 18
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Maryland went 4-8 and was ranked 94th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 58th-ranked defense carried them, with an 87th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 64% of offensive plays with a 77th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 36% of plays with an 89th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-3
Q4
3-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
101st
-4.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
53rd
full season
53rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
41st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#107W 397+12.1100%18.1Q4
2vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#126W 209+19.4100%-8.9Q4
3vs TowsonCoastal AthleticW 4417+28.0100%13.8Q4
4@ WisconsinBig Ten#74W 2710-4.5100%22.7Q3
6vs WashingtonBig Ten#20L 2024-16.00%9.8Q1
7vs NebraskaBig Ten#52L 3134-1.00%-2.7Q4
8@ UCLABig Ten#97L 1720+0.90%-8.5Q3
10vs IndianaBig Ten#1L 1055-29.60%-6.4Q1
11@ RutgersBig Ten#72L 2035-2.90%-14.0Q3
12@ IllinoisBig Ten#18L 624-15.60%-5.9Q1
13vs MichiganBig Ten#19L 2045-11.30%-20.9Q2
14vs Michigan StateBig Ten#86L 2838-0.60%-5.7Q3

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Maryland, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-17.4+0.9+19.218-9142310-3-9-6-14-6-21-6Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 77th
SR 82ndYPP 64thEPA 76th
RushingEff 89th
SR 95thYPP 71stEPA 91st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 56th
SR 81stYPP 74thEPA 39th
Rush defenseEff 51st
SR 67thYPP 57thEPA 44th
Dropback rate 64%Tempo +2.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 68th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 38%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 57.0Q1 · Allowed: 42.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 107.0Q2 · Allowed: 99.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 54.0Q3 · Allowed: 62.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 34.0Q4 · Allowed: 102.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarylandOffenseDefense
Maryland Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 87th
-3.0
Field position: +1.7Finishing drives: -4.7
Field position +1.7Finishing drives -4.7= -3.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 22nd · Finishing 96th

Defensive EffRanked 58th
+0.9
Field position: +1.4Finishing drives: -0.5
Field position +1.4Finishing drives -0.5= +0.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 28th · Finishing 70th

1.75 points per drive on offense, 2.11 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(177)59% / 41%41%5.9
Q2(241)68% / 32%45%5.9
Q3(184)61% / 39%38%5.8
Q4(185)63% / 37%31%4.7
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(184)10.141%6.4
2nd(161)8.344%6.1
3rd(131)7.437%6.7
4th(19)5.116%1.8
All (495)40%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(149)9.536%4.0
2nd(94)7.033%5.8
3rd(39)2.951%3.5
4th(10)2.160%5.8
All (292)38%4.6

Maryland, all games.