FanBoardHQ

Stanford

Stanford University · 2023 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#98
Efficiency
-8.1
96th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-7
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 12
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Stanford went 3-9 and was ranked 98th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 84th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 102nd-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 92nd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 98th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-6
Q2
1-1
Q3
1-1
Q4
1-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
103rd
-3.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
2nd
full season
2nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
8th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Hawai'iMountain West#109W 3724+4.7100%4.2Q4
2@ USCPac-12#22L 1056-24.10%-34.4Q1
3vs Sacramento StateBig SkyL 2330+7.30%-26.5Q4
4vs ArizonaPac-12#15L 2021-23.80%13.5Q1
5vs OregonPac-12#6L 642-34.90%-8.2Q1
7@ ColoradoPac-12#80W 4643-9.9100%-0.9Q3
8vs UCLAPac-12#34L 742-16.00%-27.8Q2
9vs WashingtonPac-12#1L 3342-27.00%10.2Q1
10@ Washington StatePac-12#64W 107-18.9100%14.2Q2
11@ Oregon StatePac-12#20L 1762-26.70%-20.5Q1
12vs CaliforniaPac-12#53L 1527-9.50%-10.3Q3
13vs Notre DameFBS Independents#13L 2356-27.30%-10.8Q1

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Stanford, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-30.5-10.1+10.34-34-2713-8-1-281014-21-10-11Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 92nd
SR 101stYPP 90thEPA 91st
RushingEff 98th
SR 89thYPP 97thEPA 99th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 110th
SR 89thYPP 111thEPA 115th
Rush defenseEff 123rd
SR 132ndYPP 89thEPA 125th
Dropback rate 57%Tempo -0.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 45th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 55%1st2nd · Offense: 38%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 51%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 43.0Q1 · Allowed: 87.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 56.0Q2 · Allowed: 157.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 82.0Q3 · Allowed: 101.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 70.0Q4 · Allowed: 94.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledStanfordOffenseDefense
Stanford Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 84th
-2.6
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: -1.5
Field position -1.1Finishing drives -1.5= -2.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 102nd · Finishing 79th

Defensive EffRanked 102nd
-4.5
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: -5.2
Field position +0.7Finishing drives -5.2= -4.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 40th · Finishing 107th

1.71 points per drive on offense, 2.94 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(199)51% / 49%38%4.8
Q2(212)55% / 45%35%4.5
Q3(189)57% / 43%40%6.9
Q4(218)61% / 39%39%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(178)10.340%6.3
2nd(159)8.736%5.9
3rd(108)8.827%4.6
4th(13)7.88%0.5
All (458)34%5.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(167)9.640%4.3
2nd(110)7.841%4.6
3rd(70)5.750%5.1
4th(13)3.562%4.0
All (360)43%4.5

Stanford, all games.