FanBoardHQ

UCLA

University of California, Los Angeles · 2023 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#34
Efficiency
+10.7
28th FBS
Record
8-5
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
T-7th
of 12
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UCLA went 8-5 and was ranked 34th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 7th-ranked defense carried them, with a 69th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 40th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 68th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-2
Q2
2-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
5-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 8.0 wins
Strength of Record
38th
-0.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
56th
full season
56th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
54th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#63W 2713+13.8100%13.3Q4
2@ San Diego StateMountain West#108W 3510+18.1100%17.9Q4
3vs North Carolina CentralMEACW 597+36.2100%23.7Q4
4@ UtahPac-12#29L 714-0.40%4.5Q2
6vs Washington StatePac-12#64W 2517+5.4100%12.6Q2
7@ Oregon StatePac-12#20L 2436-8.00%5.0Q1
8@ StanfordPac-12#98W 427+16.0100%29.6Q4
9vs ColoradoPac-12#80W 2816+14.4100%7.5Q4
10@ ArizonaPac-12#15L 1027-10.60%1.6Q1
11vs Arizona StatePac-12#100L 717+20.50%-20.4Q4
12@ USCPac-12#22W 3820-5.4100%34.5Q1
13vs CaliforniaPac-12#53L 733+9.20%-18.6Q3
Postseason
vs Boise StateMountain West#49W 3522+3.8100%19.6Q2

13 played · 8-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UCLA, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-16.0+7.1+30.113182451353082-2035-19Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 68th
SR 58thYPP 59thEPA 79th
RushingEff 40th
SR 53rdYPP 9thEPA 52nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 17th
SR 21stYPP 12thEPA 24th
Rush defenseEff 3rd
SR 17thYPP 4thEPA 3rd
Dropback rate 49%Tempo +8.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 52nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 44%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 37%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 84.0Q1 · Allowed: 48.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 86.0Q2 · Allowed: 56.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 86.0Q3 · Allowed: 51.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 83.0Q4 · Allowed: 58.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUCLAOffenseDefense
UCLA Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 69th
-0.6
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: -1.1
Field position +0.5Finishing drives -1.1= -0.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 46th · Finishing 71st

Defensive EffRanked 7th
+11.0
Field position: +0.6Finishing drives: +10.4
Field position +0.6Finishing drives +10.4= +11.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 43rd · Finishing 3rd

2.11 points per drive on offense, 1.31 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(220)51% / 49%43%6.3
Q2(243)51% / 49%44%6.3
Q3(219)46% / 54%50%7.1
Q4(236)48% / 52%36%4.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(174)10.248%8.4
2nd(127)9.234%5.7
3rd(129)7.738%4.2
4th(19)9.837%4.8
All (449)41%6.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(225)10.042%5.4
2nd(166)7.142%6.5
3rd(65)4.463%6.7
4th(13)3.162%4.8
All (469)45%5.9

UCLA, all games.