FanBoardHQ

Washington State

Washington State University · 2023 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#64
Efficiency
+8.0
36th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
2-7
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 12
Washington State Fanboard →

Washington State went 5-7 and was ranked 64th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 31st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 55th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 67% of offensive plays with a 42nd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 33% of plays with a 68th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-4
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-0
Q4
3-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
74th
-2.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
25th
full season
25th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
26th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Colorado StateMountain West#97W 5024+14.5100%24.4Q4
2vs WisconsinBig Ten#60W 3122+8.1100%12.2Q3
3vs Northern ColoradoBig SkyW 6421+47.7100%13.8Q4
4vs Oregon StatePac-12#20W 3835-5.1100%16.2Q1
6@ UCLAPac-12#34L 1725-5.40%6.1Q1
7vs ArizonaPac-12#15L 644-7.70%-17.0Q1
8@ OregonPac-12#6L 2438-24.30%12.5Q1
9@ Arizona StatePac-12#100L 2738+12.30%-16.2Q4
10vs StanfordPac-12#98L 710+18.90%-14.3Q4
11@ CaliforniaPac-12#53L 3942+1.10%1.0Q2
12vs ColoradoPac-12#80W 5614+11.7100%32.1Q4
13@ WashingtonPac-12#1L 2124-16.40%21.6Q1

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Washington State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.1+7.6+28.2241214166-1713-16-1413222Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 42nd
SR 33rdYPP 37thEPA 46th
RushingEff 68th
SR 32ndYPP 118thEPA 60th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 29th
SR 18thYPP 36thEPA 35th
Rush defenseEff 80th
SR 90thYPP 64thEPA 81st
Dropback rate 67%Tempo +0.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 55th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 49%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 90.0Q1 · Allowed: 54.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 128.0Q2 · Allowed: 92.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 51.0Q3 · Allowed: 69.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 69.0Q4 · Allowed: 104.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWashington StateOffenseDefense
Washington State Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 31st
+5.1
Field position: +1.4Finishing drives: +3.7
Field position +1.4Finishing drives +3.7= +5.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 22nd · Finishing 39th

Defensive EffRanked 55th
+1.2
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: +0.5
Field position +0.7Finishing drives +0.5= +1.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 39th · Finishing 63rd

2.32 points per drive on offense, 2.10 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(202)66% / 34%47%6.7
Q2(228)71% / 29%48%7.0
Q3(178)63% / 37%45%5.5
Q4(221)59% / 41%43%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(241)9.949%7.6
2nd(181)8.343%6.6
3rd(105)8.637%6.8
4th(11)3.827%2.8
All (538)44%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(133)9.547%4.6
2nd(89)7.043%4.5
3rd(55)5.855%4.3
4th(14)1.464%2.1
All (291)48%4.4

Washington State, all games.