FanBoardHQ

Washington

University of Washington · 2023 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#1
Efficiency
+21.7
10th FBS
Record
14-1
Conf. record
10-0
Conf. finish
1st
of 12
Washington Fanboard →

Washington went 14-1 and was ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 6th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 19th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 9th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 17th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
6-1
Q2
2-0
Q3
2-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
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12
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14
15
Expected: 14.0 wins
Strength of Record
1st
+6.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
1st
full season
1st
CFP committee
#2
FanBoardHQ has them 1 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
41st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Boise StateMountain West#49W 5619+17.6100%31.3Q3
2vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#113W 4310+39.9100%17.4Q4
3@ Michigan StateBig Ten#90W 417+25.6100%30.0Q4
4vs CaliforniaPac-12#53W 5932+20.3100%31.0Q3
5@ ArizonaPac-12#15W 3124+0.4100%31.1Q1
7vs OregonPac-12#6W 3633-5.2100%30.4Q1
8vs Arizona StatePac-12#100W 157+31.5100%-1.1Q4
9@ StanfordPac-12#98W 4233+27.0100%3.4Q4
10@ USCPac-12#22W 5242+5.6100%26.3Q1
11vs UtahPac-12#29W 3528+16.1100%15.5Q2
12@ Oregon StatePac-12#20W 2220+3.1100%21.4Q1
13vs Washington StatePac-12#64W 2421+16.4100%8.1Q2
14vs OregonPac-12#6W 3431-7.9100%32.7Q1
Postseason
vs TexasBig 12#3W 3731-1.7100%31.6Q1
vs MichiganBig Ten#2L 1334-7.60%8.7Q1

15 played · 14-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Washington, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.6+15.8+30.0311730313130-13261621833Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 9th
SR 4thYPP 8thEPA 11th
RushingEff 17th
SR 5thYPP 54thEPA 21st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 7th
SR 14thYPP 11thEPA 4th
Rush defenseEff 102nd
SR 89thYPP 76thEPA 111th
Dropback rate 62%Tempo +3.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 43rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 51%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 52%2nd · Defense allowed: 46%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 48%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 124.0Q1 · Allowed: 80.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 202.0Q2 · Allowed: 125.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 92.0Q3 · Allowed: 80.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 98.0Q4 · Allowed: 90.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWashingtonOffenseDefense
Washington Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 6th
+14.4
Field position: +2.6Finishing drives: +11.8
Field position +2.6Finishing drives +11.8= +14.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 7th · Finishing 8th

Defensive EffRanked 19th
+8.4
Field position: +3.3Finishing drives: +5.1
Field position +3.3Finishing drives +5.1= +8.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 2nd · Finishing 25th

2.97 points per drive on offense, 2.10 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(232)56% / 44%55%6.8
Q2(266)70% / 30%53%8.4
Q3(232)61% / 39%53%7.4
Q4(239)50% / 50%42%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(271)10.156%9.6
2nd(174)8.551%9.0
3rd(121)8.240%6.6
4th(11)5.464%5.7
All (577)51%8.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(192)9.545%4.3
2nd(141)6.952%5.7
3rd(48)3.560%4.5
4th(11)1.173%4.4
All (392)51%4.8

Washington, all games.