Pac-12
2023 · through CFP Finals
Pac-12 was the 1st-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 5 teams in the top 25. Washington led the conference, ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 10 | 1 | 8 | 14-1 | 10-0 | 10.0 |
| Oregon | 1 | 10 | 12 | 12-2 | 8-2 | 8.0 |
| Arizona | 12 | 14 | 10 | 10-3 | 7-2 | 7.0 |
| Oregon State | 15 | 24 | 5 | 8-5 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| USC | 21 | 27 | 9 | 8-5 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| Utah | 35 | 29 | 3 | 8-5 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| California | 47 | 56 | 4 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| UCLA | 28 | 38 | 11 | 8-5 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| Arizona State | 93 | 104 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Stanford | 96 | 103 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Washington State | 36 | 74 | 7 | 5-7 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Colorado | 67 | 86 | 6 | 4-8 | 1-8 | 1.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins | 10 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Oregon | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arizona | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Oregon State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| USC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Utah | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| California | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| UCLA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Arizona State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Stanford | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Washington State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Colorado | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Washington | 9 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 94 | 19 | 10 |
| Oregon | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 1 |
| Arizona | 12 | 50 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 21 | 12 |
| Oregon State | 13 | 13 | 11 | 26 | 22 | 35 | 15 |
| USC | 4 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 105 | 80 | 21 |
| Utah | 84 | 79 | 73 | 13 | 23 | 15 | 35 |
| California | 60 | 63 | 44 | 75 | 68 | 50 | 47 |
| UCLA | 69 | 34 | 69 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 28 |
| Arizona State | 115 | 69 | 91 | 69 | 124 | 75 | 93 |
| Stanford | 92 | 95 | 84 | 110 | 121 | 102 | 96 |
| Washington State | 42 | 67 | 31 | 30 | 77 | 55 | 36 |
| Colorado | 46 | 115 | 48 | 73 | 118 | 87 | 67 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 6-1 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 14-1 |
| Oregon | 2-2 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 12-2 |
| Arizona | 2-2 | 3-0 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 10-3 |
| Oregon State | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 8-5 |
| USC | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 8-5 |
| Utah | 1-4 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 4-0 | 8-5 |
| California | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 6-7 |
| UCLA | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 8-5 |
| Arizona State | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-9 |
| Stanford | 0-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-9 |
| Washington State | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 3-2 | 5-7 |
| Colorado | 0-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 4-8 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 31.3 | 17.4 | 30.0 | 31.0 | 31.1 | 30.4 | -1.1 | 3.4 | 26.3 | 15.5 | 21.4 | 8.1 | 32.7 | |
| Oregon | 26.5 | 21.3 | 25.6 | 30.6 | 29.7 | 20.8 | 25.1 | 36.3 | 28.3 | 26.2 | 30.3 | 36.1 | 18.6 | |
| Arizona | 16.6 | -2.6 | 8.5 | -3.1 | 9.1 | 15.9 | 38.4 | 18.3 | 27.6 | 4.6 | 32.3 | 30.3 | ||
| Oregon State | 32.0 | 26.7 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 23.6 | 23.9 | 21.5 | 16.0 | 9.2 | 28.3 | 16.2 | 0.6 | ||
| USC | 13.5 | 29.6 | 9.4 | 16.7 | 15.9 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 16.7 | -14.5 | |||
| Utah | 18.9 | 2.1 | 11.9 | 14.5 | 0.6 | 21.3 | 16.0 | -5.4 | 27.6 | 14.4 | -9.8 | 3.8 | ||
| California | 19.5 | -1.2 | 10.5 | -15.5 | -5.9 | -3.9 | -8.8 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 11.1 | 6.4 | 33.4 | ||
| UCLA | 13.3 | 17.9 | 23.7 | 4.5 | 12.6 | 5.0 | 29.6 | 7.5 | 1.6 | -20.4 | 34.5 | -18.6 | ||
| Arizona State | -15.7 | -7.7 | -34.5 | -3.1 | 3.0 | -7.3 | 15.7 | 17.2 | -26.3 | 24.0 | -24.9 | -25.2 | ||
| Stanford | 4.2 | -34.4 | -26.5 | 13.5 | -8.2 | -0.9 | -27.8 | 10.2 | 14.2 | -20.5 | -10.3 | -10.8 | ||
| Washington State | 24.4 | 12.2 | 13.8 | 16.2 | 6.1 | -17.0 | 12.5 | -16.2 | -14.3 | 1.0 | 32.1 | 21.6 | ||
| Colorado | 13.5 | 18.7 | -11.4 | -13.3 | -4.4 | -0.7 | -8.2 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 12.9 | -30.2 | 3.6 |