FanBoardHQ

Pac-12

2023 · through CFP Finals

Pac-12 was the 1st-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 5 teams in the top 25. Washington led the conference, ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Washington101814-110-010.0
Oregon1101212-28-28.0
Arizona12141010-37-27.0
Oregon State152458-55-45.0
USC212798-55-45.0
Utah352938-55-45.0
California475646-74-54.0
UCLA2838118-54-54.0
Arizona State9310423-92-72.0
Stanford9610313-92-72.0
Washington State367475-72-72.0
Colorado678664-81-81.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins10 wins
Washington0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Oregon0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Arizona0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Oregon State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
USC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Utah0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
California0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
UCLA0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Arizona State0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Stanford0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Washington State0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Colorado0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Washington910612941910
Oregon231617171
Arizona12501233322112
Oregon State13131126223515
USC469321058021
Utah84797313231535
California60634475685047
UCLA693469173728
Arizona State1156991691247593
Stanford92958411012110296
Washington State42673130775536
Colorado4611548731188767

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
WashingtonOregon

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Washington6-12-02-04-014-1
Oregon2-24-01-05-012-2
Arizona2-23-01-14-010-3
Oregon State0-44-11-03-08-5
USC2-31-22-03-08-5
Utah1-41-02-14-08-5
California1-31-30-14-06-7
UCLA1-22-10-15-18-5
Arizona State1-31-30-11-23-9
Stanford0-61-11-11-13-9
Washington State1-40-11-03-25-7
Colorado0-41-30-03-14-8

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14
Washington31.317.430.031.031.130.4-1.13.426.315.521.48.132.7
Oregon26.521.325.630.629.720.825.136.328.326.230.336.118.6
Arizona16.6-2.68.5-3.19.115.938.418.327.64.632.330.3
Oregon State32.026.76.07.723.623.921.516.09.228.316.20.6
USC13.529.69.416.715.94.25.67.48.716.7-14.5
Utah18.92.111.914.50.621.316.0-5.427.614.4-9.83.8
California19.5-1.210.5-15.5-5.9-3.9-8.810.15.511.16.433.4
UCLA13.317.923.74.512.65.029.67.51.6-20.434.5-18.6
Arizona State-15.7-7.7-34.5-3.13.0-7.315.717.2-26.324.0-24.9-25.2
Stanford4.2-34.4-26.513.5-8.2-0.9-27.810.214.2-20.5-10.3-10.8
Washington State24.412.213.816.26.1-17.012.5-16.2-14.31.032.121.6
Colorado13.518.7-11.4-13.3-4.4-0.7-8.22.25.712.9-30.23.6