FanBoardHQ

Syracuse

Syracuse University · 2022 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#52
Efficiency
+6.2
42nd FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 14
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Syracuse went 7-6 and was ranked 52nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 41st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 53rd-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 38th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 48th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
1-2
Q3
2-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
56th
-1.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
45th
full season
45th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
35th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs LouisvilleACC#27W 317-2.2100%33.7Q2
2@ UConnFBS Independents#99W 4814+18.4100%25.7Q4
3vs PurdueBig Ten#34W 3229+5.3100%1.5Q3
4vs VirginiaACC#100W 2220+15.1100%-6.1Q4
5vs WagnerNECW 590+59.0100%10.1Q4
7vs NC StateACC#36W 249+2.8100%21.4Q3
8@ ClemsonACC#15L 2127-11.50%12.6Q1
9vs Notre DameFBS Independents#21L 2441-2.70%-7.0Q2
10@ PittsburghACC#26L 919-6.30%3.1Q1
11vs Florida StateACC#18L 338-8.00%-18.6Q1
12@ Wake ForestACC#31L 3545-6.10%-0.8Q2
13@ Boston CollegeACC#113W 3223+13.9100%1.6Q4
Postseason
vs MinnesotaBig Ten#24L 2028-5.50%2.9Q1

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Syracuse, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-14.4+7.6+29.534261-6102113-73-19-12Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 38th
SR 18thYPP 36thEPA 58th
RushingEff 48th
SR 41stYPP 60thEPA 41st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 36th
SR 66thYPP 26thEPA 28th
Rush defenseEff 86th
SR 118thYPP 47thEPA 81st
Dropback rate 53%Tempo +1.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 44th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 47%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 92.0Q1 · Allowed: 51.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 84.0Q2 · Allowed: 82.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 57.0Q3 · Allowed: 62.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 114.0Q4 · Allowed: 93.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSyracuseOffenseDefense
Syracuse Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 41st
+3.7
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: +3.0
Field position +0.7Finishing drives +3.0= +3.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 34th · Finishing 42nd

Defensive EffRanked 53rd
+1.3
Field position: -0.9Finishing drives: +2.2
Field position -0.9Finishing drives +2.2= +1.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 96th · Finishing 45th

2.18 points per drive on offense, 1.81 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(208)51% / 49%47%6.2
Q2(212)51% / 49%44%6.1
Q3(168)51% / 49%46%6.0
Q4(218)52% / 48%45%6.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(171)10.454%8.5
2nd(143)8.944%6.7
3rd(90)9.227%3.5
4th(9)10.722%7.6
All (413)44%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)9.847%5.3
2nd(120)6.947%4.9
3rd(62)6.750%6.7
4th(4)2.875%3.0
All (393)47%5.4

Syracuse, all games.