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UConn

University of Connecticut · 2022 · FBS Independents

FanBoardHQ CFP
#99
Efficiency
-14.9
114th FBS
Record
6-7
Conf. record
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 7
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UConn went 6-7 and was ranked 99th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 106th-ranked defense carried them, with an 112th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 73rd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with a 121st-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-3
Q4
5-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 6.0 wins
Strength of Record
89th
-4.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
85th
full season
85th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
5th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~2.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ Utah StateMountain West#98L 2031-3.60%-21.2Q4
1vs Central ConnecticutNECW 283+28.5100%-16.6Q4
2vs SyracuseACC#52L 1448-18.40%-34.4Q3
3@ MichiganBig Ten#6L 059-41.00%-21.4Q1
4@ NC StateACC#36L 1041-23.80%-29.3Q2
5vs Fresno StateMountain West#41W 1914-17.8100%7.9Q3
6@ FIUConference USA#121W 3312+9.2100%-3.3Q4
7@ Ball StateMid-American#108L 2125-3.50%-17.1Q4
9vs Boston CollegeACC#113W 133-1.7100%-3.2Q4
10vs MassachusettsFBS Independents#131W 2710+14.6100%-10.9Q4
11vs LibertyFBS Independents#71W 3633-7.5100%-3.4Q4
12@ ArmyFBS Independents#84L 1734-11.90%-22.0Q3
Postseason
vs MarshallSun Belt#59L 1428-14.40%-19.3Q3

13 played · 6-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UConn, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-31.0-13.3+4.5-21-17-34-21-298-3-17-3-11-3-22Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 121st
SR 124thYPP 123rdEPA 115th
RushingEff 73rd
SR 97thYPP 48thEPA 77th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 115th
SR 131stYPP 116thEPA 106th
Rush defenseEff 123rd
SR 122ndYPP 116thEPA 126th
Dropback rate 38%Tempo -2.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 58th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 47%1st2nd · Offense: 32%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 58.0Q1 · Allowed: 71.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 67.0Q2 · Allowed: 106.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 56.0Q3 · Allowed: 79.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 65.0Q4 · Allowed: 59.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUConnOffenseDefense
UConn Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 112th
-8.5
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: -7.8
Field position -0.7Finishing drives -7.8= -8.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 90th · Finishing 111th

Defensive EffRanked 106th
-5.7
Field position: -2.0Finishing drives: -3.7
Field position -2.0Finishing drives -3.7= -5.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 119th · Finishing 98th

1.62 points per drive on offense, 2.03 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(175)36% / 64%42%6.3
Q2(226)42% / 58%34%5.1
Q3(186)34% / 66%42%5.2
Q4(191)39% / 61%35%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(74)10.134%5.1
2nd(100)9.328%4.7
3rd(113)8.631%4.8
4th(8)8.00%2.3
All (295)30%4.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(256)10.245%6.1
2nd(155)7.534%4.9
3rd(61)5.354%6.2
4th(11)1.364%1.0
All (483)43%5.6

UConn, all games.

UConn Football 2022 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ