FanBoardHQ

Tulsa

University of Tulsa · 2026 · American Athletic

Efficiency
-3.3
80th FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
7th
proj. of 14
Tulsa Fanboard →

Tulsa is 2-0 and ranked 80th in overall efficiency. Their 47th-ranked defense carries them, with a 106th-ranked offense. They run the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 77th-ranked rushing attack and pass the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 126th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
+1 left
Q3
0-0
+3 left
Q4
2-0
+6 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 7.6 wins
Strength of Record
31st
+0.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
107th
full season
102nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
79th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#88W 2410+4.5100%5.9Q4
2@ Sam HoustonConference USA#123W 2317+8.8100%-5.5Q4
3vs East Texas A&MSouthlandPreview+32.897%Q4
4@ ArkansasSEC#94Preview+0.150%Q4
5vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#52Preview-5.936%Q3
6@ NavyAmerican Athletic#101Preview+2.456%Q4
7@ RiceAmerican Athletic#118Preview+7.667%Q4
8vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#56Preview-5.138%Q3
10@ TulaneAmerican Athletic#74Preview-3.741%Q3
11vs Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#91Preview+5.062%Q4
12vs CharlotteAmerican Athletic#137Preview+24.793%Q4
13@ UTSAAmerican Athletic#42Preview-12.324%Q2

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Tulsa, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-6.2-0.7+4.86-5Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 126th
SR 125thYPP 119thEPA 126th
RushingEff 77th
SR 108thYPP 62ndEPA 65th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 77th
SR 64thYPP 85thEPA 84th
Rush defenseEff 75th
SR 98thYPP 75thEPA 64th
Dropback rate 48%Tempo +4.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 72nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 37%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 51%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 29%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 34%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 3.0Q1 · Allowed: 7.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 17.0Q2 · Allowed: 10.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 21.0Q3 · Allowed: 10.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 7.0Q4 · Allowed: 0.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTulsaOffenseDefense
Tulsa Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 106th
-5.4
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: -4.7
Field position -0.7Finishing drives -4.7= -5.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 88th · Finishing 104th

Defensive EffRanked 47th
+3.1
Field position: +1.4Finishing drives: +1.8
Field position +1.4Finishing drives +1.8= +3.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 25th · Finishing 54th

2.04 points per drive on offense, 1.17 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(30)47% / 53%27%5.5
Q2(43)63% / 37%37%4.9
Q3(27)41% / 59%52%9.4
Q4(30)30% / 70%27%3.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(23)10.339%7.3
2nd(19)8.047%6.8
3rd(16)8.66%1.4
4th(3)7.033%3.3
All (61)33%5.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(29)10.034%3.1
2nd(24)7.333%6.9
3rd(12)8.633%5.8
4th(4)4.8100%18.8
All (69)38%5.8

Tulsa, all games.