FanBoardHQ

UCLA

University of California, Los Angeles · 2025 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#97
Efficiency
-4.3
82nd FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
3-6
Conf. finish
T-12th
of 18
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UCLA went 3-9 and was ranked 97th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 67th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 97th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 101st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 46th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-5
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-1
Q4
1-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
102nd
-3.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
3rd
full season
3rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
17th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UtahBig 12#12L 1043-26.70%-13.8Q1
2@ UNLVMountain West#55L 2330-7.10%-7.7Q3
3vs New MexicoMountain West#51L 1035-1.50%-28.2Q4
5@ NorthwesternBig Ten#49L 1417-10.80%0.7Q2
6vs Penn StateBig Ten#39W 4237-16.9100%19.2Q1
7@ Michigan StateBig Ten#86W 3813-7.0100%30.8Q3
8vs MarylandBig Ten#94W 2017-0.9100%3.5Q4
9@ IndianaBig Ten#1L 656-38.70%-11.6Q1
11vs NebraskaBig Ten#52L 2128-4.60%-12.0Q4
12@ Ohio StateBig Ten#4L 1048-35.80%-12.4Q1
13vs WashingtonBig Ten#20L 1448-19.60%-18.8Q1
14@ USCBig Ten#17L 1029-25.20%-2.1Q1

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UCLA, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-23.5+1.3+26.1-14-8-28119313-12-12-12-19-2Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 101st
SR 83rdYPP 117thEPA 98th
RushingEff 46th
SR 73rdYPP 42ndEPA 35th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 63rd
SR 94thYPP 43rdEPA 64th
Rush defenseEff 112th
SR 130thYPP 82ndEPA 105th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo -2.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 49th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 50%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 57%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 20.0Q1 · Allowed: 82.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 71.0Q2 · Allowed: 107.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 64.0Q3 · Allowed: 63.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 47.0Q4 · Allowed: 112.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUCLAOffenseDefense
UCLA Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 67th
-0.3
Field position: -0.6Finishing drives: +0.3
Field position -0.6Finishing drives +0.3= -0.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 88th · Finishing 62nd

Defensive EffRanked 97th
-3.8
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: -3.8
Field position -0.1Finishing drives -3.8= -3.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 69th · Finishing 99th

1.68 points per drive on offense, 3.10 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 26.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(141)52% / 48%36%4.4
Q2(217)50% / 50%45%5.5
Q3(175)54% / 46%40%5.4
Q4(186)59% / 41%44%5.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(151)10.348%4.7
2nd(126)8.540%6.0
3rd(96)7.629%4.0
4th(12)5.825%5.6
All (385)40%5.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(158)9.941%5.1
2nd(105)7.740%4.9
3rd(55)5.649%7.1
4th(16)1.975%4.3
All (334)44%5.3

UCLA, all games.