FanBoardHQ

Nebraska

University of Nebraska–Lincoln · 2025 · Big Ten

FanBoardHQ CFP
#52
Efficiency
+3.0
61st FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
T-10th
of 18
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Nebraska went 7-6 and was ranked 52nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 43rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 87th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 43rd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 48th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
0-1
Q3
4-1
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
54th
-1.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
46th
full season
46th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
55th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs CincinnatiBig 12#54W 2017-1.0100%7.2Q3
2vs AkronMid-American#117W 680+24.0100%23.0Q4
3vs Houston ChristianSouthlandW 597+47.1100%14.5Q4
4vs MichiganBig Ten#19L 2730-7.60%6.6Q2
6vs Michigan StateBig Ten#86W 3827+5.8100%9.6Q4
7@ MarylandBig Ten#94W 3431+1.0100%5.0Q3
8@ MinnesotaBig Ten#48L 624+1.00%-17.0Q3
9vs NorthwesternBig Ten#49W 2821+2.1100%4.0Q3
10vs USCBig Ten#17L 1721-12.40%11.8Q1
11@ UCLABig Ten#97W 2821+4.6100%10.7Q3
13@ Penn StateBig Ten#39L 1037-15.00%-24.8Q1
14vs IowaBig Ten#16L 1640-10.80%-9.9Q1
Postseason
vs UtahBig 12#12L 2244-22.10%-2.1Q1

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Nebraska, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-21.0-0.9+19.2723147105-1741211-25-10Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 48th
SR 37thYPP 57thEPA 48th
RushingEff 43rd
SR 41stYPP 35thEPA 52nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 55th
SR 49thYPP 64thEPA 60th
Rush defenseEff 105th
SR 90thYPP 107thEPA 110th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo -6.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 57th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 49%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 86.0Q1 · Allowed: 40.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 118.0Q2 · Allowed: 102.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 63.0Q3 · Allowed: 101.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 82.0Q4 · Allowed: 69.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledNebraskaOffenseDefense
Nebraska Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 43rd
+4.1
Field position: +2.3Finishing drives: +1.8
Field position +2.3Finishing drives +1.8= +4.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 11th · Finishing 52nd

Defensive EffRanked 87th
-2.8
Field position: +2.4Finishing drives: -5.1
Field position +2.4Finishing drives -5.1= -2.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 8th · Finishing 109th

2.50 points per drive on offense, 2.28 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(219)47% / 53%51%7.1
Q2(210)47% / 53%46%5.5
Q3(176)49% / 51%47%5.8
Q4(214)57% / 43%46%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(161)9.851%8.1
2nd(150)7.447%6.5
3rd(87)7.738%6.1
4th(11)4.727%4.5
All (409)46%7.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)9.747%5.2
2nd(116)6.948%5.3
3rd(73)4.956%5.7
4th(15)1.547%0.7
All (410)49%5.1

Nebraska, all games.